Las Vegas Lights vs Monterey Bay: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/06/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cashman Field (Las Vegas, NV).

: USL Championship

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	0.59
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
83% (315/379)	86% (330/382)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90	0.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.58	0.15
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
0	5
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
5	6
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
14	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
11	14
Passes
83% (315/379)	86% (330/382)
Long passes
60% (49/82)	63% (30/48)
Passes in final third
73% (93/128)	74% (76/103)
Crosses
44% (4/9)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.88	0.44
Throw-ins
23	18
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
80% (12/15)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
45	45
Clearances
21	13
Interceptions
4	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
0.15	0.58
Goals prevented
0.15	-1.54

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Jones N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Gartig E. 🟨,
59', Rebollar A. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
59', Dixon A. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
59', Guediri S. ↓, Robinson G. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Leal P. (A),
63', Fonguck W. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Nigro G. (A),
66', Jones N. ↓, Howell M. ↑,
66', Smart S. ↓, Gyau J. ↑,
66', Sojberg A. ↓, Gnaulati X. ↑,
73', Leal P. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
82', Peeters D. ↓, Covil V. ↑,
82', Rodriguez J. ↓, Stojanovic ↑,
82', Fonguck W. ↓, Gallaway P. ↑,
87', Covil V. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Las Vegas Lights
42.8%

Draw
27.8%

Monterey Bay
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.7%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29.9%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Vegas Lights's performance.

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Vegas Lights that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.38)	3.32 ↑ (3)	3.14 ↑ (2.7)	8.2% (12.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Monterey Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 1.
Las Vegas is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Monterey Bay has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of home games.
Las Vegas might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Monterey Bay will win today's game, with odds of 3.14.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Las Vegas Lights won against Monterey Bay?

Las Vegas Lights has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Las Vegas Lights?

Monterey Bay has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay were as follows:

14.09.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 0:0

13.04.2024 Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights 3:1

16.09.2023 Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights 3:2

10.06.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 1:2

27.09.2022 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 4:0

Latest results of Las Vegas Lights

07.06.2025 San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights 3:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 4:0 ✺

28.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 0:1 ✺

24.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive 1:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 5:0 ✺

Latest results of Monterey Bay

07.06.2025 Monterey Bay - Lexington 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 3:2 ✺

28.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Spokane Velocity 1:0 ✺

24.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Louisville City 0:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay 2:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	15	10	4	1	28:12	16	34
2	Charleston	15	10	2	3	32:15	17	32
3	Loudoun	15	8	2	5	24:20	4	26
4	North Carolina	13	7	2	4	19:14	5	23
5	Pittsburgh	14	6	2	6	12:12	0	20
6	Detroit	14	5	5	4	19:18	1	20
7	Miami FC	13	5	1	7	13:18	-5	16
8	Rhode Island	14	4	3	7	13:16	-3	15
9	Indy Eleven	13	3	5	5	20:24	-4	14
10	Birmingham	15	3	5	7	15:21	-6	14
11	Tampa Bay	14	3	2	9	16:24	-8	11
12	Hartford Athletic	12	2	3	7	13:19	-6	9

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	New Mexico	14	8	1	5	21:15	6	25
2	El Paso	14	6	5	3	23:20	3	23
3	FC Tulsa	12	6	3	3	15:9	6	21
4	San Antonio	14	6	3	5	20:20	0	21
5	Phoenix Rising	14	5	5	4	24:24	0	20
6	Monterey Bay	15	5	4	6	16:17	-1	19
7	Las Vegas Lights	14	5	3	6	10:18	-8	18
8	Orange County SC	13	5	2	6	17:20	-3	17
9	Sacramento Republic	13	4	5	4	17:12	5	17
10	Colorado Springs	14	3	6	5	18:21	-3	15
11	Oakland Roots	14	4	2	8	14:23	-9	14
12	Lexington	14	3	5	6	15:22	-7	14

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+