Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Basketball WNBA Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces
08/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Phoenix Mercury
60.8%
Las Vegas Aces
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Las Vegas Aces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Aces than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.69)

    2.41
    (2.23)
    5.7%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 163.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Las Vegas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • Las Vegas Aces leads series 2-0. 3rd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 0.
    • Phoenix has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Las Vegas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Las Vegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Phoenix will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 1599:1844. (average 80:92.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 582:669. (average 83.1:95.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury 91:78
    03.10.2025 Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury 89:86
    21.08.2025 Las Vegas Aces - Phoenix Mercury 83:61
    15.08.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces 83:86
    29.06.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces 81:84
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    Latest results of Las Vegas Aces
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Las Vegas Aces W (2)Seattle Storm W (7)2 : 1
    2Atlanta Dream W (3)Indiana Fever W (6)1 : 2
    3Minnesota Lynx W (1)Golden State Valkyries W (8)2 : 0
    4Phoenix Mercury W (4)New York Liberty W (5)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Las Vegas Aces W (2)Indiana Fever W (6)3 : 2
    2Minnesota Lynx W (1)Phoenix Mercury W (4)1 : 3

    Final
    1Las Vegas Aces W (2)Phoenix Mercury W (4)2 : 0
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