Las Palmas vs Leganés: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Las Palmas - Leganés
Result
0:1
18/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 37
Las Palmas - Leganés - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.571.56
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
84% (457/543)68% (157/231)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.571.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.910.55
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
84% (457/543)68% (157/231)
Long passes
53% (33/62)27% (16/60)
Passes in final third
68% (65/95)47% (43/92)
Crosses
14% (3/21)60% (3/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.82
Throw-ins
3125
Fouls
1512
Tackles
43% (6/14)50% (9/18)
Duels won
5154
Clearances
3338
Interceptions
413
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.550.91
Goals prevented
-0.450.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Raba D. , Cruz J. (A),
  • 15', Campana J. 🟨,
  • 20', Munir El Haddadi , Diomande Y. ,
  • 36', Altimira A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Munoz A. , Ramirez S. ,
  • 46', Raba D. , Rodriguez O. ,
  • 55', Viti , Viera Garcia S. ,
  • 61', Hernandez J. 🟨,
  • 72', Essugo D. , Mata J. ,
  • 76', Viera Garcia S. 🟨,
  • 77', Nastasic M. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 80', McBurnie O. , Januzaj A. ,
  • 81', Moleiro A. , Martin D. ,
  • 88', Garcia D. , de la Fuente M. ,
  • 88', Cruz J. , Duk ,

Chances of winning


Las Palmas
30.4%
Draw
28.2%
Leganés
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 28.2% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 28.7% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Palmas's form might have worsened.
  • Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leganés's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+17.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leganés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Las Palmas - Leganés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (1.95)
    3.42
    (3.25)
    2.33
    (3.7)
    3.8%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Leganés?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Leganés will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 25.9%65.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Leganés (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Leganés (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
    • Las Palmas is Relegated to LaLiga2
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 2.
    • Recent form of Las Palmas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Leganés has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Leganés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Leganés could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Las Palmas: Marmol M. (Yellow Cards) Rodriguez K. (Health problems) Silva F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Las Palmas: Bajcetic S. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Leganés were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Leganés - Las Palmas 2:1
    18.02.2023 Leganés - Las Palmas 0:0
    09.09.2022 Las Palmas - Leganés 1:0
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    13.05.2025 Sevilla - Las Palmas 1:0
    03.05.2025 Las Palmas - Valencia 2:3
    Latest results of Leganés
    14.05.2025 Villarreal - Leganés 3:0
    11.05.2025 Leganés - Espanyol 3:2
    04.05.2025 Sevilla - Leganés 2:2
    24.04.2025 Leganés - Girona 1:1
    19.04.2025 Mallorca - Leganés 0:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Las Palmas - Leganés?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, SuperSport OTT 7
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 4
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 4
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, GXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+
    israelIsraelONE Sport
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
    maldivesMaldivesICE Plus, Medianet
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 7
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 4
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 7
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainGol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 3, M+ LaLiga TV 4, M+ LaLiga TV, TeleMadrid, TV Canaria
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
    taiwanTaiwanDAZN
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 12
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter
    vietnamVietnamSCTV Online
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