Las Palmas vs Almería: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish LaLiga2 Las Palmas - Almería
Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga2 - Round 7
  • Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)
Las Palmas - Almería - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.62
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
89% (506/570)79% (274/349)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.220.72
Total shots
913
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
89% (506/570)79% (274/349)
Long passes
56% (24/43)33% (18/54)
Passes in final third
79% (113/143)57% (38/67)
Crosses
15% (3/20)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.44
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
1217
Tackles
62% (8/13)50% (10/20)
Duels won
4751
Clearances
1516
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.720.22
Goals prevented
-0.280.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Gui Guedes 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Arribas S. , Munoz A. (A),
  • 45', Embarba A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gui Guedes , Baba I. ,
  • 46', Monte N. 🟨,
  • 58', Lukovic M. 🟥,
  • 66', Embarba A. 🟨,
  • 68', Loiodice E. , Gil I. ,
  • 69', Arribas S. , Clua S. ,
  • 69', Dzodic S. , Leo Baptistao ,
  • 70', Soko P. , Puigmal A. ,
  • 74', Marvin 🟨,
  • 78', Viera J. , Jese ,
  • 83', Amatucci L. , Viti ,
  • 84', Gutierrez C. , Cedeno E. ,
  • 84', Fuster M. , Pejino ,
  • 89', Melamed N. , Centelles A. ,
  • 90+5', Viti 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ye5k8cum

Chances of winning


Las Palmas
23.4%
Draw
35.9%
Almería
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 28.6% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 29.1% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Las Palmas's form might have worsened.
  • Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almería's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+20%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almería, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Las Palmas - Almería Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.02
    (2.16)
    3.45
    (3.33)
    2.91
    (3.48)
    -20%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Almería?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Almería will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 1.
    • Las Palmas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Almería's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Las Palmas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Las Palmas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Las Palmas: Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Viti (Health problems)
    • There will not play in Almería: Chumi (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Almería: Lopy D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Almería were as follows:
    17.03.2024 Las Palmas - Almería 0:1
    28.10.2023 Almería - Las Palmas 1:2
    23.07.2023 Las Palmas - Almería 0:0
    Latest results of Las Palmas
    20.09.2025 Leganés - Las Palmas 0:1
    07.09.2025 Burgos - Las Palmas 0:0
    31.08.2025 Las Palmas - Málaga 0:1
    25.08.2025 Córdoba - Las Palmas 1:3
    Latest results of Almería
    13.09.2025 Valladolid - Almería 3:1
    29.08.2025 Real Sociedad B - Almería 2:2
    24.08.2025 Leonesa - Almería 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cadiz CF953110:6418
    2Dep. La Coruna944117:9816
    3Racing Santander951322:16616
    4Valladolid943210:6415
    5Las Palmas94328:5315
    6Almeria943218:16215
    7Andorra942313:13014
    8Huesca94148:11-313
    9Burgos CF933313:10312
    10Eibar933310:7312
    11Castellon933313:12112
    12Gijon940513:15-212
    13Ceuta93338:12-412
    14Leganes92528:7111
    15Malaga93249:10-111
    16Albacete924314:16-210
    17Real Sociedad B923414:16-29
    18Cordoba82339:12-39
    19Mirandes92349:12-39
    20Granada CF923411:15-49
    21Cultural Leonesa82247:12-58
    22Zaragoza91356:12-66

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Las Palmas - Almería?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
    australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports, DSports 9
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
    portugalPortugalDAZN / App
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
    singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
    thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
    usaUsaESPN App
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter
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