Auda Riga vs Larne: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Auda Riga - Larne
Result
2:3 penalties
16/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Kubryak D. (Ukr)
Auda Riga - Larne - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
2712
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
2712
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
73
Corner Kicks
94
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
812
Throw-ins
3336
Fouls
128
Goalkeeper Saves
28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Randall M. 🟨,
  • 20', Cosgrove T. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Traore A. , Rubenis O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Kone K. , Monteiro E. ,
  • 46', McEneff J. , Sloan D. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, McKendry C. , Randall M. (A),
  • 53', 2 - 1, Monteiro E. , Rubenis O. (A),
  • 63', Nolan R. , Ridley M. ,
  • 65', Rubenis O. , Ramiro J. ,
  • 65', Traore A. , Jackson Kenio ,
  • 66', 2 - 2, O'Neill P. , Sloan D. (A),
  • 76', Monteiro E. 🟨,
  • 78', Randall M. , Magee B. ,
  • 78', McKendry C. , Lusty M. ,
  • 90', Hrvoj T. , Ogunji A. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 102', Ramiro J. , Jeudi S. ,
  • 106', Lusty M. , O'Connor T. ,
  • 106', Cosgrove T. , Kee J. ,
  • 120', Jackson Kenio , Camara O. ,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Gallagher C. (Pen),
  • 1, Nguena K. (Pen),
  • 2, O'Neill P. (Pen),
  • 2, Jeudi S. (Pen),
  • 3, Bent D. (Pen),
  • 3, Varslavans R. (Pen),
  • 4, O'Connor T. (Pen),
  • 4, Camara O. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Auda Riga
53.3%
Draw
26.1%
Larne
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 27.1% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 27.4% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auda Riga's performance.
  • Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auda Riga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Auda Riga - Larne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.95)
    3.52
    (3.4)
    4.49
    (3.61)
    7.9%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Auda Riga - Larne?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Auda will win (votes: 27 - 73%). Larne will win (votes: 1 - 2.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 24.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Auda: 58.7%87.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Auda (votes: 6 - 50%). Larne (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Larne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Auda is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Auda won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auda Riga - Larne were as follows:
    10.07.2025 Larne - Auda Riga 0:0
    Latest results of Auda Riga
    10.07.2025 Larne - Auda Riga 0:0
    05.07.2025 Auda Riga - Jelgava 2:0
    01.07.2025 Super Nova - Auda Riga 0:1
    27.06.2025 Auda Riga - Riga 1:3
    22.06.2025 RFS - Auda Riga 1:0
    Latest results of Larne
    10.07.2025 Larne - Auda Riga 0:0
    01.07.2025 Larne - Portadown 3:0
    21.06.2025 Stranraer - Larne 0:1
    17.06.2025 Larne - The New Saints 2:2
    26.04.2025 Larne - Glentoran 0:0
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Auda Riga - Larne?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    denmarkDenmarkDisney+
    swedenSwedenDisney+
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