Result
1:3
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : NPL Premier Division - Round 11
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Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Lawson D. ⚽,
- 24', 0 - 2, Joe Amison ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 3, Bailey S. (Pen),
- 60', 1 - 3, Navarro L. ⚽,
- 71', Horne B. D. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Ashton United
25.2% | Draw
27% | Lancaster City
47.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ashton United's form might have worsened.Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lancaster City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+22.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ashton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-21.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lancaster City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ashton United - Lancaster City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.91 ↑
(2.02) |
4.59 ↑
(3.36) |
2.6 ↓
(3.22) |
-19.3%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 3.
- Ashton is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lancaster is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ashton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ashton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ashton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ashton United won against Lancaster City?
Ashton United has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lancaster City won against Ashton United?
Lancaster City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ashton United - Lancaster City were as follows:
15.02.2025
Ashton United
-
Lancaster City
2:1
19.10.2024
Lancaster City
-
Ashton United
2:2
05.03.2024
Ashton United
-
Lancaster City
5:0
14.11.2023
Lancaster City
-
Ashton United
2:1
30.09.2023
Lancaster City
-
Ashton United
0:2
Latest results of Ashton United
Latest results of Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lancaster | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Stockton | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Gainsborough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | FC United | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 | Cleethorpes | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Hebburn Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Ashton Utd | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Rushall | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 11 | Guiseley | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Leek | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Bamber Bridge | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 14 | Prescot | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Ilkeston | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Whitby | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 17 | Hyde | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Warrington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | Workington | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ National League North
Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )
Relegation
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