Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kyoto Sanga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/04/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

: J1 League - Round 20

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	0.46
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
71% (251/356)	76% (341/447)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	0.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.98	1.23
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
17	12
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
12	8
Passes
71% (251/356)	76% (341/447)
Long passes
32% (23/72)	34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
47% (50/106)	60% (75/126)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.89	0.54
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
50% (4/8)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
52	45
Clearances Total
40	32
Interceptions
8	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
1.23	0.98
Goals prevented
0.23	-1.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Matsuo Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yonemoto T. ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
46', Sato K. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
54', Joao Pedro ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Rafael Elias ⚽, Sugai H. (A),
61', 2 - 1, Watanabe R. ⚽, Gustafson S. (A),
62', Kaneko T. ↓, Haraguchi G. ↑,
62', Watanabe R. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
63', Okugawa M. ↓, Marco Tulio ↑,
75', Hara T. ↓, Murilo de Souza ↑,
75', Matsuo Y. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
75', Matheus Savio ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
87', Sugai H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
41.9%

Draw
29.7%

Kyoto Sanga
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

30.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.15)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	6.2% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Kyoto will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Urawa won 2.
Recent matches Urawa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kyoto is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Kyoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Urawa have a series of guest games.
Urawa will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Urawa won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.1:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Urawa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Kyoto Sanga?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Kyoto Sanga has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:

22.02.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1

14.07.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0

15.05.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga 3:0

15.09.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga 0:0

27.05.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:2

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

13.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

16.03.2025 Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Kyoto Sanga

12.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

09.04.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga 0:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga 3:4 ✺

02.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	31	19	4	8	48:28	20	61
2	Vissel Kobe	31	17	6	8	41:26	15	57
3	Kyoto	31	16	8	7	54:33	21	56
4	Kashiwa Reysol	31	15	11	5	43:29	14	56
5	Machida	31	15	7	9	47:33	14	52
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	31	15	7	9	35:21	14	52
7	Kawasaki Frontale	31	14	9	8	55:40	15	51
8	Urawa Reds	31	13	9	9	39:32	7	48
9	Gamba Osaka	31	14	4	13	42:45	-3	46
10	Cerezo Osaka	31	11	10	10	48:45	3	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	31	10	10	11	33:36	-3	40
12	Okayama	31	11	7	13	28:33	-5	40
13	FC Tokyo	31	11	7	13	33:42	-9	40
14	Avispa Fukuoka	31	9	10	12	30:35	-5	37
15	Nagoya Grampus	31	9	9	13	38:43	-5	36
16	Verdy	31	9	8	14	20:35	-15	35
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	31	7	7	17	29:41	-12	28
18	Yokohama FC	31	7	7	17	20:36	-16	28
19	Shonan Bellmare	31	6	7	18	28:55	-27	25
20	Albirex Niigata	31	4	9	18	27:50	-23	21

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan