Result
1:1
12/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.06 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (315/400) | 64% (170/267) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.06 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 49 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (315/400) | 64% (170/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (40/72) | 37% (24/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (148/203) | 53% (36/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (11/36) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Yamada F. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 46', Maeda N. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 56', Takeda S. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
- 56', Sugai H. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
- 61', Kato M. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Sasaki S. ⚽,
- 67', Rafael Elias 🟨,
- 72', Hirato T. ↓, Marco Tulio ↑,
- 75', Fukuoka S. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 86', Marco Tulio 🟨,
- 86', Germain R. ↓, Kawabe H. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Rafael Elias ⚽, Marco Tulio (A),
- 90+1', Higashi S. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
- 90+1', Nakajima Y. ↓, Araki H. ↑,
- 90+4', Ota G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
50.9% | Draw
25.5% | Kyoto Sanga
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.82) |
3.68 ↑
(3.67) |
4.01 ↓
(4.13) |
6.2%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Kyoto will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 41% – 80.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 50%). Kyoto (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Hiroshima has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro
(Forearm injury)
Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Kyoto Sanga?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Kyoto Sanga has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
29.03.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0
03.11.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:1
19.05.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:5
23.09.2023
Kyoto Sanga
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0
04.06.2023
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Kyoto Sanga
3:1
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 65 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 60 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 58 |
| 6 | Machida | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 52 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 50 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 50:49 | 1 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Okayama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 40 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32:44 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21:37 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 30:55 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
