Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus
Result
1:1
11/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 16
Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.41
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
72% (284/395)68% (242/358)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.131.04
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
916
Passes
72% (284/395)68% (242/358)
Long passes
27% (17/64)41% (34/83)
Passes in final third
67% (94/140)56% (52/93)
Crosses
7% (1/15)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.57
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
169
Tackles
77% (10/13)100% (11/11)
Duels won
4462
Clearances
926
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.040.13
Goals prevented
0.04-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Takeda S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Joao Pedro , Okugawa M. ,
  • 46', Murilo de Souza , Nagasawa S. ,
  • 59', Uchida T. , Tokumoto S. ,
  • 59', Izumi R. , Asano Y. ,
  • 62', Matsuda T. , Hiraga S. ,
  • 66', Sugai H. , Sato K. ,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Nagasawa S. ,
  • 78', Shiihashi K. , Morishima T. ,
  • 78', Mateus , Nagai K. ,
  • 83', Nakayama K. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Inagaki S. ,
  • 89', Takeda S. , Yonemoto T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
40.1%
Draw
29.1%
Nagoya Grampus
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 27.7% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 28.1% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.31)
    3.22
    (3.39)
    3.04
    (2.98)
    6.5%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Gu Sung-Yun (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Calf Injury) Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kyoto: Hara T. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
    07.08.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 3:2
    26.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:1
    16.07.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 2:1
    25.02.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    08.10.2022 Kyoto Sanga - Nagoya Grampus 1:1
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers17121427:121537
    2Kashiwa Reysol1796220:13733
    3Kyoto1894527:21631
    4Urawa Reds1785421:15629
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima1692516:12429
    6Kawasaki Frontale1566324:141024
    7Machida1773720:18224
    8Vissel Kobe1573516:14224
    9Gamba Osaka1772821:24-323
    10Shimizu S-Pulse1764721:20122
    11Cerezo Osaka1764724:24022
    12Okayama1764713:14-122
    13Avispa Fukuoka1764715:17-222
    14Shonan Bellmare1763812:20-821
    15Verdy1755712:18-620
    16FC Tokyo1654717:20-319
    17Yokohama FC1753911:17-618
    18Nagoya Grampus1745819:25-617
    19Albirex Niigata1627717:23-613
    20Yokohama F. Marinos1515911:23-128

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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