Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa).

: J1 League - Round 21

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.57	2.31
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
9	5
Big Chances
6	3
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
85% (491/576)	69% (216/313)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57	2.31
xG on target (xGOT)
3.29	2.77
Total shots
19	10
Shots on target
9	5
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
6	1
Shots inside the Box
11	7
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	2
Big Chances
6	3
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
42	12
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
8	8
Passes
85% (491/576)	69% (216/313)
Long passes
51% (32/63)	34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
81% (137/170)	55% (57/104)
Crosses
23% (5/22)	63% (5/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.28	1.08
Throw-ins
18	22
Fouls
8	8
Tackles
78% (7/9)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
45	39
Clearances
16	21
Interceptions
5	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
2.77	3.29
Goals prevented
-0.23	0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Koizumi Y. ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Yonemoto T. ⚽, Fukuda S. (A),
31', 2 - 1, Kakita Y. ⚽,
38', Yamada Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Marco Tulio ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
46', Matsuda T. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
46', Kakita Y. 🟨,
54', 2 - 2, Nagasawa S. ⚽, Hara T. (A),
65', Yonemoto T. ↓, Patrick William ↑,
65', Fukuda S. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
68', Miyamoto Y. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Harada W. ⚽,
81', Yamada Y. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
81', Watai M. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
84', 3 - 3, Kawasaki S. ⚽, Okugawa M. (A),
85', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
90', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kashiwa Reysol
47.9%

Draw
28.4%

Kyoto Sanga
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

26.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.1)	3.3 ↓ (3.58)	3.98 ↑ (3.45)	5.8% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Kyoto will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1.
Kashiwa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kyoto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Kashiwa might have a minor edge in this game.
There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harakawa R. (Inactive) Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury) Tezuka K. (Injury)
There are questionable in Kyoto: Gu Sung-Yun (Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Kyoto Sanga?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Kyoto Sanga has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:

02.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1

26.06.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 2:2

25.02.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga 1:1

06.08.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

15.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

08.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe 1:3 ✺

25.05.2025 Yokohama FC - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Kyoto Sanga

11.06.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nara Club 1:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 1:0 ✺

21.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:4 ✺

17.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga 0:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan