Kwara United vs Akwa United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Nigerian Premier League Kwara United - Akwa United
Result
0:2
23/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 30
Kwara United - Akwa United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
139
Shots on Goal
32
Shots off Goal
107
Corner Kicks
84
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', Adekinle S. 🟥,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Kabir O. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 🟨,
  • 60', Kabir O. 🟨,
  • 69', Philip D. , Edidiong E. ,
  • 69', Kabir O. , Akande I. ,
  • 69', Oguntayo S. , Onunze P. ,
  • 73', 0 - 2, Sabastine U. , Akande I. (A),
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 85', Ndon W. , Apollos F. ,
  • 85', Sabastine U. , Tochukwu S. ,

Chances of winning


Kwara United
46%
Draw
30.9%
Akwa United
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66% 22.6% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 20.1% 12.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kwara United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kwara United's form might have worsened.
  • Akwa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Akwa United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kwara United than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kwara United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akwa United than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Akwa United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kwara United - Akwa United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.37)
    2.96
    (4)
    3.96
    (7.9)
    9.4%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kwara won 2.
    • Kwara is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Akwa United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Akwa United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Kwara is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Kwara won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:16 (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kwara won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kwara United - Akwa United were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Akwa United - Kwara United 2:1
    21.04.2024 Kwara United - Akwa United 1:0
    02.12.2023 Akwa United - Kwara United 1:1
    24.04.2023 Akwa United - Kwara United 3:1
    01.02.2023 Kwara United - Akwa United 2:1
    Latest results of Kwara United
    Latest results of Akwa United
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    2025/26
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    18Plateau United72055:8-36
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    20Kun Khalifa71247:11-45

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation

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