Result
1:1
12/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Jupiler Pro League - Round 7
- Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (297/377) | 78% (270/346) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (297/377) | 78% (270/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 33% (14/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (71/117) | 64% (42/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Homawoo J. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
- 44', Bafdili B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', El Hankouri M. ↓, Eckert Ayensa D. ↑,
- 58', Konate M. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 0, Ilaimaharitra M. (Pen),
- 60', Bafdili B. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Mrabti K. ⚽,
- 76', Halhal R. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 76', Mrabti K. ↓, van Brederode M. ↑,
- 84', Said R. ↓, Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↑,
- 84', Ilaimaharitra M. ↓, Sahabo H. ↑,
- 87', Lauberbach L. ↓, Teague R. ↑,
- 90+2', Sahabo H. 🟨,
- 90+3', Henry T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Karamoko I. 🟨,
- 90+7', Diouf G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Standard Liège
41.2% | Draw
29.9% | KV Mechelen
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KV Mechelen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Standard Liège - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.5) |
3.18 ↓
(3.3) |
3.3 ↑
(2.75) |
4.3%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Standard Liège - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Mechelen will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 23.2% – 66.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
- BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KV Mechelen will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 0.
- Standard is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mechelen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Standard: Bates D.
(Knee Injury)
Eckert Ayensa D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki
(Surgery)
Marsa J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Standard won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against KV Mechelen?
Standard Liège has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Standard Liège?
KV Mechelen has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Standard Liège - KV Mechelen were as follows:
10.05.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Standard Liège
0:0
29.03.2025
Standard Liège
-
KV Mechelen
2:2
26.12.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Standard Liège
0:0
09.08.2024
Standard Liège
-
KV Mechelen
0:0
25.05.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Standard Liège
3:2
Latest results of Standard Liège
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 20 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Charleroi | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Gent | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Waregem | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | RAAL La Louviere | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Genk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | St. Liege | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Leuven | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Dender | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Standard Liège - KV Mechelen?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
