Result
3:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Jupiler Pro League - Round 6
- Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.06 | 0.78 |
Ball Possession |
---|
66% | 34% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
85% (410/480) | 67% (153/228) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.06 | 0.78 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.76 | 0.35 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
85% (410/480) | 67% (153/228) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (23/50) | 44% (23/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (64/103) | 47% (41/87) |
Crosses |
---|
43% (9/21) | 17% (4/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.75 | 0.36 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (9/16) | 71% (15/21) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
41 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
2 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.35 | 2.76 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.35 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Schoofs R. ⚽, Konate M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Pau M. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
- 46', Diouf G. ↓, Lauberbach L. ↑,
- 46', Guindo M. ↓, Mendy O. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, De Wolf O. (Own goal),
- 70', Lutonda T. ↓, Benavides D. ↑,
- 76', Mrabti K. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 81', Schoofs R. ↓, Teague R. ↑,
- 81', Zekri M. ↓, Pflucke P. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Halhal R. (Own goal),
- 89', Liongola J. ↓, Okou Y. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 2, Lauberbach L. ⚽, Bafdili B. (A),
- 90+2', Maes O. ↓, Gueulette S. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Lauberbach L. ⚽,
- 90+6', Lauberbach L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen 49.9% | Draw 26.1% | RAAL La Louvière 24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KV Mechelen's form might have worsened.RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RAAL La Louvière's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KV Mechelen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RAAL La Louvière, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↑ (1.54) |
3.69 ↓ (4.35) |
4.04 ↓ (5.8) |
3.7% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 18 - 90%). La Louvière will win (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 76.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- Mechelen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- La Louvière has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Mechelen is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki
(Surgery)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against RAAL La Louvière?
KV Mechelen has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against KV Mechelen?
RAAL La Louvière has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière were as follows:
05.07.2025
KV Mechelen
-
RAAL La Louvière
1:0
30.10.2024
KV Mechelen
-
RAAL La Louvière
3:1
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Royale Union SG | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 14 |
2 | St. Truiden | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
3 | KV Mechelen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Club Brugge KV | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Anderlecht | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
6 | Antwerp | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
7 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Genk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
9 | St. Liege | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
10 | Leuven | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
11 | Westerlo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Charleroi | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
13 | Gent | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
14 | RAAL La Louviere | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
15 | Waregem | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Dender | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |