KV Mechelen vs RAAL La Louvière: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Belgian Jupiler Pro League KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière
Result
3:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Jupiler Pro League - Round 6
  • Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)
KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.060.78
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
85% (410/480)67% (153/228)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.060.78
xG on target (xGOT)
2.760.35
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2724
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
912
Passes
85% (410/480)67% (153/228)
Long passes
46% (23/50)44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
62% (64/103)47% (41/87)
Crosses
43% (9/21)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.750.36
Throw-ins
2316
Fouls
139
Tackles
56% (9/16)71% (15/21)
Duels won
5255
Clearances
4120
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.352.76
Goals prevented
0.35-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Schoofs R. , Konate M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Pau M. , Ito J. ,
  • 46', Diouf G. , Lauberbach L. ,
  • 46', Guindo M. , Mendy O. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, De Wolf O. (Own goal),
  • 70', Lutonda T. , Benavides D. ,
  • 76', Mrabti K. , Antonio B. ,
  • 81', Schoofs R. , Teague R. ,
  • 81', Zekri M. , Pflucke P. ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Halhal R. (Own goal),
  • 89', Liongola J. , Okou Y. ,
  • 90', 2 - 2, Lauberbach L. , Bafdili B. (A),
  • 90+2', Maes O. , Gueulette S. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, Lauberbach L. ,
  • 90+6', Lauberbach L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


KV Mechelen
49.9%
Draw
26.1%
RAAL La Louvière
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 21.9% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 21.3% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KV Mechelen's form might have worsened.
  • RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RAAL La Louvière's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KV Mechelen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RAAL La Louvière, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.54)
    3.69
    (4.35)
    4.04
    (5.8)
    3.7%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 18 - 90%). La Louvière will win (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 76.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
    • Mechelen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • La Louvière has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Mechelen is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki (Surgery)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière were as follows:
    05.07.2025 KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière 1:0
    30.10.2024 KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière 3:1
    Latest results of KV Mechelen
    16.08.2025 KV Mechelen - Gent 1:1
    09.08.2025 Westerlo - KV Mechelen 0:1
    01.08.2025 KV Mechelen - Club Brugge 2:1
    Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG642014:31114
    2St. Truiden642011:4714
    3KV Mechelen63219:7211
    4Club Brugge KV53117:4310
    5Anderlecht530211:749
    6Antwerp62318:719
    7Cercle Brugge KSV62228:628
    8Genk52128:807
    9St. Liege62135:9-47
    10Leuven62136:12-67
    11Westerlo52038:11-36
    12Charleroi51317:616
    13Gent51226:8-25
    14RAAL La Louviere61144:8-44
    15Waregem61147:12-54
    16Dender60242:9-72

          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
          Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan