Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs KV Mechelen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Belgian Jupiler Pro League Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen
Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 7
  • Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.362.42
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
515
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
85% (356/421)83% (340/408)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.362.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.531.58
Total shots
515
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
412
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2533
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
85% (356/421)83% (340/408)
Long passes
55% (31/56)51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
61% (64/105)80% (126/158)
Crosses
16% (3/19)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.552.00
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
1412
Tackles
44% (8/18)42% (5/12)
Duels won
4339
Clearances
1822
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.581.53
Goals prevented
-0.420.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Verstraete B. 🟨,
  • 38', Schrijvers S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Schoofs R. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Banzuzi E. 🟨,
  • 58', Osifo M. , Kurucay H. ,
  • 58', Maziz Y. , Zeefuik L. ,
  • 70', Lauberbach L. , Raman B. ,
  • 70', Verlinden T. , Balikwisha W. ,
  • 70', Banzuzi E. , George W. ,
  • 80', Nyakossi R. , Pletinckx E. ,
  • 80', Mrabti K. , Hairemans G. ,
  • 81', 0 - 2, Storm N. ,
  • 83', Van den Eynden B. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Pletinckx E. , Vlietinck T. (A),
  • 90+1', Belghali R. , Pflucke P. ,
  • 90+1', Storm N. , Antonio B. ,
  • 90+1', Balikwisha W. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Pflucke P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Leysen T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Oud-Heverlee Leuven
36.5%
Draw
26.9%
KV Mechelen
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 28.2% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 27.6% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.76)
    3.52
    (3.37)
    2.59
    (2.54)
    5.5%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Oud-Heverlee Leuven will win! (6 of 6 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Leuven: Maertens M. (Muscle Injury) Tsoungui A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mechelen: Foulon D. (Calf Injury) Ngoy J. (Injury) Touba A. (Thigh Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Hernia)
    • There are questionable in Leuven: Akimoto T. (Thigh Injury) Mijatovic J. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:36. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen were as follows:
    13.04.2025 KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1
    31.01.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen 1:0
    05.10.2024 KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5:0
    27.04.2024 KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:0
    30.03.2024 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen 2:3
    Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
    Latest results of KV Mechelen
    26.04.2025 Westerlo - KV Mechelen 2:2
    22.04.2025 KV Mechelen - Westerlo 2:3
    19.04.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 3:0
    04.04.2025 KV Mechelen - Dender EH 5:2
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG981019:21753
    2Club Brugge KV971120:51552
    3Genk ✔ 931512:10244
    4Anderlecht ✔ 931511:11036
    5Antwerp ✔ 92259:17-831
    6Gent91083:29-2626

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Genk is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )
    Anderlecht is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )
    Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Oud-Heverlee Leuven - KV Mechelen?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsSporza
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