Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga Oulu - KuPS Kuopio
Result
2:2
04/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
Oulu - KuPS Kuopio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.200.41
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
311
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
77% (239/310)87% (522/599)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.200.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.731.03
Total shots
311
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
520
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
77% (239/310)87% (522/599)
Long passes
38% (21/55)66% (39/59)
Passes in final third
53% (27/51)73% (134/183)
Crosses
18% (2/11)7% (2/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.180.63
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
1012
Tackles
42% (5/12)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4845
Clearances
3618
Interceptions
159
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.030.73
Goals prevented
-0.97-1.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Kaukua T. , Silander S. (A),
  • 16', Salo R. 🟨,
  • 31', Hamalainen N. 🟨,
  • 32', Kaukua T. , Salmensuu O. ,
  • 37', Miettinen S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Salo R. , Ruoppi O. ,
  • 46', Sadiku A. , Toure M. ,
  • 46', Paananen J. , Paananen A. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Toure M. ,
  • 57', Ojala M. , Silas C. ,
  • 57', Salmensuu O. , Korkko J. ,
  • 61', Luyeye-Lutumba J. , Savolainen S. ,
  • 61', Arifi D. , Oksanen J. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Ruoppi O. , Savolainen S. (A),
  • 70', Paananen A. 🟨,
  • 75', Heinonen A. , Pennanen P. ,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Koskela M. , Korkko J. (A),
  • 86', Ruoppi O. 🟨,
  • 89', Silander S. , Lehtonen J. ,
  • 90+4', Lehtonen J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Oulu
26.3%
Draw
26.7%
KuPS Kuopio
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 24.4% 52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8% 23.9% 53.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KuPS Kuopio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KuPS Kuopio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Oulu - KuPS Kuopio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.66
    (4.1)
    3.59
    (3.91)
    2
    (1.83)
    5.2%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Oulu - KuPS Kuopio?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
  • Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.7%97.94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KuPS Kuopio will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Oulu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Oulu has had a series of home games.
    • KuPS will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D. (Inactive) Jokelainen N. (Yellow Cards) Kemppainen O. (Inactive) Ndione M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in KuPS: Cisse I. (Yellow Cards) Pasanen S. (Knee Injury) Ricardo P. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 11:46. (average 0.6:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:21. (average 0.7:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oulu - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
    12.04.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Oulu 1:0
    25.03.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Oulu 2:0
    22.02.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Oulu 2:1
    28.06.2024 Oulu - KuPS Kuopio 1:0
    08.06.2024 KuPS Kuopio - Oulu 4:1
    Latest results of Oulu
    28.06.2025 Oulu - VPS Vaasa 2:1
    24.06.2025 Oulu - SJK 2:0
    18.06.2025 FF Jaro - Oulu 2:1
    14.06.2025 Oulu - HJK 0:4
    10.06.2025 Oulu - PK-35 Vantaa 2:1
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    01.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan 6:2
    27.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio - HJK 3:0
    24.06.2025 Haka - KuPS Kuopio 1:2
    14.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Ilves 0:3
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku1486027:91830
    2KuPS1693427:171030
    3Ilves1592433:171629
    4HJK1582532:171526
    5SJK1574428:22625
    6VPS1453621:21018
    7Gnistan1445518:24-617
    8Mariehamn1544715:30-1516
    9Jaro1443716:21-515
    10Haka1443716:24-815
    11KTP1424814:33-1910
    12AC Oulu1423918:30-129

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Oulu - KuPS Kuopio?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandRuutu+
    worldWorldOnefootball
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