IFK Mariehamn vs KuPS Kuopio: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio
Result
1:0
18/06/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.692.37
Ball Possession
26%74%
Total shots
1224
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
210
Passes
62% (133/214)85% (530/621)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.692.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.320.88
Total shots
1224
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
612
Shots inside the Box
718
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
210
Touches in opposition box
2258
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
179
Passes
62% (133/214)85% (530/621)
Long passes
22% (11/51)40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
58% (67/115)75% (168/223)
Crosses
28% (5/18)37% (16/43)
Expected assists (xA)
1.153.54
Throw-ins
2123
Fouls
917
Tackles
69% (18/26)50% (4/8)
Duels won
7350
Clearances
5736
Interceptions
132
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.880.32
Goals prevented
0.88-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Toivonen E. , Enqvist D. ,
  • 45', Savolainen S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Muskwe A. , Olawale M. ,
  • 62', Armah B. , Toure M. ,
  • 63', Hamalainen N. , Sadiku A. ,
  • 68', Cardoso H. , Reid J. ,
  • 75', Luyeye-Lutumba J. , Heinonen A. ,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Okereke E. , Kujasalo N. (A),

Chances of winning


IFK Mariehamn
17.2%
Draw
21.8%
KuPS Kuopio
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.5% 22.1% 62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1% 21.5% 64%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.52
    (6.1)
    4.33
    (4.3)
    1.54
    (1.52)
    6%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). KuPS will win (votes: 17 - 81%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for KuPS: 64.2%97.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KuPS Kuopio will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 1.
    • Mariehamn is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • KuPS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, KuPS is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M. (Inactive) Raitanen P. (Knee Injury) Riikonen M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in KuPS: Arifi D. (International duty) Miettinen S. (International duty) Pasanen S. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:39. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 1:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
    23.04.2025 KuPS Kuopio - IFK Mariehamn 4:1
    25.08.2024 KuPS Kuopio - IFK Mariehamn 3:0
    16.06.2024 IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio 1:3
    13.04.2024 IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio 2:2
    05.07.2023 IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio 2:1
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    14.06.2025 IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa 1:5
    11.06.2025 Klubi 04 - IFK Mariehamn 4:3
    31.05.2025 KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn 2:2
    28.05.2025 IFK Mariehamn - TPS 3:2
    24.05.2025 IFK Mariehamn - HJK 0:4
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    14.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Ilves 0:3
    11.06.2025 Jazz Pori - KuPS Kuopio 2:6
    31.05.2025 HJK - KuPS Kuopio 0:0
    25.05.2025 KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa 0:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku1486027:91830
    2KuPS1693427:171030
    3Ilves1592433:171629
    4HJK1582532:171526
    5SJK1574428:22625
    6VPS1453621:21018
    7Gnistan1445518:24-617
    8Mariehamn1544715:30-1516
    9Jaro1443716:21-515
    10Haka1443716:24-815
    11KTP1424814:33-1910
    12AC Oulu1423918:30-129

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandRuutu+
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