VPS Vaasa vs KTP Kotka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka
Result
3:2
22/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.191.22
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
75% (240/318)73% (242/332)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.191.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.952.40
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
75% (240/318)73% (242/332)
Long passes
51% (28/55)22% (11/49)
Passes in final third
71% (90/126)65% (71/110)
Crosses
20% (4/20)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.50
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
1215
Tackles
68% (15/22)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6653
Clearances
2720
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.402.95
Goals prevented
0.40-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Rangel , Paavola M. (A),
  • 22', 0 - 2, Rangel (Pen),
  • 45+2', 1 - 2, Fall M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Dekker T. , Daoussi Y. ,
  • 48', 2 - 2, Fall M. , El Ouatki Y. (A),
  • 51', Pedro Justiniano 🟨,
  • 57', 3 - 2, El Ouatki Y. ,
  • 61', Diakite M. , Linner O. ,
  • 64', El Ouatki Y. 🟨,
  • 66', Rangel , Glasson M. ,
  • 66', Makela J. , Kauko J. ,
  • 67', El Ouatki Y. , Raisanen A. ,
  • 75', Fleuriau N. , Mohammed T. ,
  • 78', Lahdensuo T. , Forsell P. ,
  • 79', Tanaka A. , Tahmbi N. ,
  • 83', Aspegren F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Wilson W. , Ronnberg V. ,
  • 90+6', Akpudje J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


VPS Vaasa
56.4%
Draw
22.5%
KTP Kotka
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 21.8% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2% 18.7% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VPS Vaasa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KTP Kotka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.67)
    4.15
    (4.2)
    4.44
    (3.95)
    6.4%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. VPS will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). KTP will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for VPS: 47.1%83.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KTP Kotka will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 1.
    • Recent performances by VPS have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • KTP is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, VPS is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in VPS: Smyth L. (Inactive) Vahtera J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in KTP: Tarvonen A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, VPS won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka were as follows:
    11.04.2025 KTP Kotka - VPS Vaasa 2:2
    25.08.2023 VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka 2:1
    03.06.2023 KTP Kotka - VPS Vaasa 1:0
    Latest results of VPS Vaasa
    15.08.2025 Gnistan - VPS Vaasa 0:0
    10.08.2025 VPS Vaasa - SJK 1:2
    01.08.2025 VPS Vaasa - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    25.07.2025 FF Jaro - VPS Vaasa 2:2
    19.07.2025 VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio 1:1
    Latest results of KTP Kotka
    16.08.2025 IFK Mariehamn - KTP Kotka 3:0
    09.08.2025 KTP Kotka - KuPS Kuopio 0:2
    03.08.2025 SJK - KTP Kotka 3:0
    26.07.2025 Haka - KTP Kotka 2:3
    18.07.2025 KTP Kotka - Inter Turku 2:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku22137246:202646
    2Ilves22143547:272045
    3HJK22142659:293044
    4KuPS22135439:231644
    5SJK22125545:311441
    6Gnistan2277834:39-528
    7VPS2267932:34-225
    8Jaro22741125:36-1125
    9Mariehamn22561125:48-2321
    10AC Oulu22531430:48-1818
    11Haka22441427:43-1616
    12KTP22351424:55-3114

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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