SJK vs KTP Kotka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga SJK - KTP Kotka
Result
3:0
03/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
SJK - KTP Kotka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.951.57
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
84% (324/385)80% (290/363)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
2.951.57
xG on target (xGOT)
3.421.34
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2021
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
84% (324/385)80% (290/363)
Long passes
54% (29/54)39% (18/46)
Passes in final third
68% (46/68)64% (79/123)
Crosses
8% (1/12)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.94
Throw-ins
1513
Fouls
1711
Tackles
58% (7/12)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4344
Clearances
216
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.343.42
Goals prevented
1.340.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Paananen K. , Fati B. (A),
  • 25', Tessilimi O. 🟨,
  • 28', Padera P. 🟨,
  • 42', Akpudje J. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Vargas A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Seck A. , Edlund C. ,
  • 46', Chukwudi S. , Vaisto O. ,
  • 46', Tessilimi O. , Streng J. ,
  • 46', Padera P. , Arsalo M. ,
  • 55', Arsalo M. , Wilson A. ,
  • 58', Forsell P. (Pen),
  • 60', Yussif S. 🟨,
  • 64', 🟨,
  • 68', Lehtiranta J. , Paavola M. ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Fati B. ,
  • 74', Pires K. , Obileye A. ,
  • 76', Gasc V. R. 🟨,
  • 79', Tahmbi N. , Elle Essouma F. ,
  • 79', Tanaka A. , Glasson M. ,
  • 87', Obileye A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Elle Essouma F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


SJK
60.3%
Draw
21.4%
KTP Kotka
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 20% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 19.4% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • SJK - KTP Kotka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.47)
    4.46
    (4.71)
    5.21
    (6)
    5.7%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for SJK - KTP Kotka?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. SJK will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). KTP will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for SJK: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK won 3.
    • SJK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • KTP has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • SJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, SJK is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in KTP: Makela J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in SJK: Yussif S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in KTP: Akpudje J. (Injury) Tarvonen A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, SJK won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SJK won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SJK - KTP Kotka were as follows:
    05.04.2025 KTP Kotka - SJK 0:1
    15.08.2023 SJK - KTP Kotka 2:3
    22.05.2023 KTP Kotka - SJK 0:2
    Latest results of SJK
    27.07.2025 Inter Turku - SJK 4:1
    20.07.2025 SJK - Gnistan 3:1
    17.07.2025 KÍ Klaksvík - SJK 2:0
    10.07.2025 SJK - KÍ Klaksvík 1:2
    05.07.2025 SJK - Ilves 1:1
    Latest results of KTP Kotka
    26.07.2025 Haka - KTP Kotka 2:3
    18.07.2025 KTP Kotka - Inter Turku 2:2
    13.07.2025 Oulu - KTP Kotka 3:2
    07.07.2025 KTP Kotka - Gnistan 0:0
    02.07.2025 Ilves - KTP Kotka 2:1
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku ✔ 18117040:142640
    2Ilves ✔ 18113439:211836
    3KuPS18104431:201134
    4HJK18102640:241632
    5SJK1894535:27831
    6VPS1856727:28-121
    7Gnistan1856725:33-821
    8Jaro1854920:27-719
    9Mariehamn1846817:33-1618
    10Haka18441021:33-1216
    11AC Oulu18431123:36-1315
    12KTP18351021:43-2214

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    Which TV channels are streaming of SJK - KTP Kotka?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandRuutu+
    worldWorldOnefootball
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