Result
1:4
31/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.01 | 2.96 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 10 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 8 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
73% (228/313) | 84% (361/430) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.01 | 2.96 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.85 | 3.75 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 10 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 8 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 30 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
73% (228/313) | 84% (361/430) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (23/61) | 48% (28/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
55% (65/118) | 72% (91/126) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (8/23) | 25% (2/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.84 | 1.24 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (7/12) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
13 | 43 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.75 | 1.85 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.25 | 0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Weckstrom L. ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 1, Michel B. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 2, Lyons-Foster B. ⚽,
- 37', Simojoki K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Simojoki K. ↓, Ylitolva M. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 3, Pukki T. ⚽, Michel B. (A),
- 56', Lingman L. 🟨,
- 59', Lahdensuo T. 🟨,
- 61', Hostikka S. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
- 61', Lingman L. ↓, Kallinen J. ↑,
- 67', Pukki T. ↓, Tahiri A. ↑,
- 72', Lehtiranta J. ↓, Paavola M. ↑,
- 72', Lahdensuo T. ↓, Seck A. ↑,
- 72', Glasson M. ↓, Makela J. ↑,
- 73', Tahmbi N. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 4, Kallinen J. ⚽, Mentu P. (A),
- 80', Tahmbi N. ↓, Kauko J. ↑,
- 80', Weckstrom L. ↓, Tarvonen A. ↑,
- 83', Michel B. ↓, Besuijen V. ↑,
Chances of winning
KTP Kotka 16.2% | Draw 19.4% | HJK 64.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+2%)
KTP Kotka - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.83 ↓ (6.04) |
4.98 ↑ (4.94) |
1.5 ↑ (1.46) |
4% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for KTP Kotka - HJK?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
- HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 0.
- Recent form of KTP has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- HJK is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, KTP has had a series of away games.
- Recently, HJK has had a series of home games.
- In this match, HJK is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in HJK: Moller L.
(Inactive)
Ost J.
(Inactive)
Ring A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in KTP: Diakite M.
(Injury)
Tarvonen A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in HJK: Pukki T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, KTP won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:38. (average 0.7:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against HJK?
KTP Kotka has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against KTP Kotka?
HJK has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KTP Kotka - HJK were as follows:
17.05.2025
HJK
-
KTP Kotka
4:1
18.02.2025
KTP Kotka
-
HJK
0:4
11.06.2023
HJK
-
KTP Kotka
1:0
09.05.2023
KTP Kotka
-
HJK
3:3
04.03.2023
KTP Kotka
-
HJK
1:2
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Inter Turku | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 46:20 | 26 | 46 |
2 | Ilves | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 45 |
3 | HJK | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 59:29 | 30 | 44 |
4 | KuPS | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:23 | 16 | 44 |
5 | SJK | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Gnistan | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 34:39 | -5 | 28 |
7 | VPS | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 25 |
8 | Jaro | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
9 | Mariehamn | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:48 | -23 | 21 |
10 | AC Oulu | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 18 |
11 | Haka | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 16 |
12 | KTP | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 24:55 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of KTP Kotka - HJK?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Finland | Ruutu+ |
World | Onefootball |