KTP Kotka vs HJK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Finnish Veikkausliiga KTP Kotka - HJK
Result
1:4
31/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Veikkausliiga
KTP Kotka - HJK - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.012.96
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
610
Big Chances
28
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
73% (228/313)84% (361/430)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.012.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.853.75
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
610
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
914
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
28
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
3030
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
73% (228/313)84% (361/430)
Long passes
38% (23/61)48% (28/58)
Passes in final third
55% (65/118)72% (91/126)
Crosses
35% (8/23)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.841.24
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
1515
Tackles
58% (7/12)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5154
Clearances
1343
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
3.751.85
Goals prevented
-0.250.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Weckstrom L. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Michel B. ,
  • 35', 1 - 2, Lyons-Foster B. ,
  • 37', Simojoki K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Simojoki K. , Ylitolva M. ,
  • 54', 1 - 3, Pukki T. , Michel B. (A),
  • 56', Lingman L. 🟨,
  • 59', Lahdensuo T. 🟨,
  • 61', Hostikka S. , Moller L. ,
  • 61', Lingman L. , Kallinen J. ,
  • 67', Pukki T. , Tahiri A. ,
  • 72', Lehtiranta J. , Paavola M. ,
  • 72', Lahdensuo T. , Seck A. ,
  • 72', Glasson M. , Makela J. ,
  • 73', Tahmbi N. 🟨,
  • 76', 1 - 4, Kallinen J. , Mentu P. (A),
  • 80', Tahmbi N. , Kauko J. ,
  • 80', Weckstrom L. , Tarvonen A. ,
  • 83', Michel B. , Besuijen V. ,

Chances of winning


KTP Kotka
16.2%
Draw
19.4%
HJK
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.7% 19.2% 65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4% 18.9% 66.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • KTP Kotka - HJK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.83
    (6.04)
    4.98
    (4.94)
    1.5
    (1.46)
    4%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for KTP Kotka - HJK?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
    • HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 0.
    • Recent form of KTP has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • HJK is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, KTP has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, HJK has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, HJK is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in HJK: Moller L. (Inactive) Ost J. (Inactive) Ring A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in KTP: Diakite M. (Injury) Tarvonen A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in HJK: Pukki T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, KTP won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:38. (average 0.7:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KTP Kotka - HJK were as follows:
    17.05.2025 HJK - KTP Kotka 4:1
    18.02.2025 KTP Kotka - HJK 0:4
    11.06.2023 HJK - KTP Kotka 1:0
    09.05.2023 KTP Kotka - HJK 3:3
    04.03.2023 KTP Kotka - HJK 1:2
    Latest results of KTP Kotka
    22.08.2025 VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka 3:2
    16.08.2025 IFK Mariehamn - KTP Kotka 3:0
    09.08.2025 KTP Kotka - KuPS Kuopio 0:2
    03.08.2025 SJK - KTP Kotka 3:0
    26.07.2025 Haka - KTP Kotka 2:3
    Latest results of HJK
    24.08.2025 HJK - IFK Mariehamn 8:2
    21.08.2025 HJK - Oulu 1:0
    17.08.2025 Haka - HJK 1:2
    11.08.2025 HJK - Ilves 5:1
    04.08.2025 HJK - Inter Turku 1:4
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku22137246:202646
    2Ilves22143547:272045
    3HJK22142659:293044
    4KuPS22135439:231644
    5SJK22125545:311441
    6Gnistan2277834:39-528
    7VPS2267932:34-225
    8Jaro22741125:36-1125
    9Mariehamn22561125:48-2321
    10AC Oulu22531430:48-1818
    11Haka22441427:43-1616
    12KTP22351424:55-3114

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of KTP Kotka - HJK?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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