Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (320/395) | 71% (244/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (320/395) | 71% (244/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 32% (26/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (56/93) | 60% (64/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Bashkirov E. 🟨,
- 20', Lehtiranta J. 🟨,
- 33', Arko-Mensah E. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Forsell P. ⚽, Sumusalo M. (A),
- 37', Gnanou R. 🟨,
- 45+1', Weckstrom L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Tarvonen A. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
- 51', Forsell P. 🟨,
- 54', Olufunwa O. ↓, Pettersson O. ↑,
- 54', Hafstad D. ↓, Toivonen H. ↑,
- 60', Toivio J. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Latonen J. ⚽, Heiskanen S. (A),
- 70', Weckstrom L. ↓, Edlund C. ↑,
- 75', Heiskanen S. 🟨,
- 77', Larsen M. ↓, Oddei B. ↑,
- 84', Forsell P. ↓, Makela J. ↑,
- 86', Elle Essouma F. ↓, Tulehmo A. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Latonen J. ⚽,
- 90+5', Latonen J. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gnistan
55.4% | Draw
22.7% | KTP Kotka
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Gnistan - KTP Kotka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.64) |
4.19 ↓
(4.29) |
4.35 ↓
(4.63) |
5.5%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2.
- Gnistan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- KTP has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- KTP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Gnistan is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Eremenko R.
(Inactive)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Pettersson O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in KTP: Makela J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against KTP Kotka?
Gnistan has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against Gnistan?
KTP Kotka has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - KTP Kotka were as follows:
01.02.2025
Gnistan
-
KTP Kotka
3:0
31.05.2023
KTP Kotka
-
Gnistan
2:1
Latest results of Gnistan
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 26:9 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | KuPS | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | Ilves | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 30:15 | 15 | 25 |
| 4 | SJK | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | HJK | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28:14 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | VPS | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Gnistan | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
| 9 | Haka | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 10 | Jaro | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 11 |
| 11 | KTP | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:31 | -18 | 9 |
| 12 | AC Oulu | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Gnistan - KTP Kotka?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
