Result
3:2
28/06/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (410/492) | 79% (302/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 3.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (410/492) | 79% (302/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (29/56) | 52% (33/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (86/121) | 70% (91/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 30% (9/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.52 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.52 | -1.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Cissoko K. ⚽, Bjorkskog A. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Forsell P. (Pen),
- 43', 2 - 1, Seck A. ⚽, Forsell P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 3 - 1, Seck A. ⚽, Edlund C. (A),
- 55', Paavola M. 🟨,
- 61', Elle Essouma F. ↓, Huhtamaki U. ↑,
- 65', Polley R. ↓, Bjonback A. ↑,
- 65', Valencic F. ↓, Vikstrom R. ↑,
- 65', Kahkonen S. ↓, Izountouemoi S. ↑,
- 73', Tarvonen A. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
- 77', Cissoko K. ↓, Vidjeskog A. ↑,
- 78', Sotelo G. 🟨,
- 80', Edlund C. ↓, Oddei B. ↑,
- 80', Seck A. ↓, Rangel ↑,
- 82', Sotelo G. ↓, Myrevik J. ↑,
- 88', Oddei B. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Ogungbaro M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
KTP Kotka
33.8% | Draw
26.9% | FF Jaro
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KTP Kotka's form might have worsened.FF Jaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FF Jaro's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KTP Kotka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FF Jaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
KTP Kotka - FF Jaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.45) |
3.49 ↓
(3.53) |
2.46 ↓
(2.79) |
5.7%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for KTP Kotka - FF Jaro?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Jaro will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KTP: 12% – 65%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 3.
- Recent form of KTP has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jaro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Jaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Jaro: Kusu M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in KTP: Wilson A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KTP won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against FF Jaro?
KTP Kotka has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FF Jaro won against KTP Kotka?
FF Jaro has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KTP Kotka - FF Jaro were as follows:
26.04.2025
FF Jaro
-
KTP Kotka
2:3
25.08.2024
FF Jaro
-
KTP Kotka
1:2
14.07.2024
FF Jaro
-
KTP Kotka
5:2
13.05.2024
KTP Kotka
-
FF Jaro
1:0
18.09.2022
FF Jaro
-
KTP Kotka
4:2
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Latest results of FF Jaro
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 26:9 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | KuPS | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | Ilves | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 30:15 | 15 | 25 |
| 4 | SJK | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | HJK | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28:14 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | VPS | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Gnistan | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
| 9 | Haka | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 10 | Jaro | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 11 |
| 11 | KTP | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:31 | -18 | 9 |
| 12 | AC Oulu | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of KTP Kotka - FF Jaro?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
