Krylya Sovetov vs Baltika Kaliningrad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/08/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Samara Arena (Samara).

: Premier League - Round 4
Referee: Shafeev R. (Rus)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.53	2.36
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
7	16
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
73% (241/332)	77% (281/367)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53	2.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.64	2.24
Total shots
7	16
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
2	8
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
5	9
Shots outside the Box
2	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
15	35
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
15	10
Passes
73% (241/332)	77% (281/367)
Long passes
46% (31/67)	31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
58% (52/90)	59% (75/127)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.43	1.52
Throw-ins
14	20
Fouls
10	17
Tackles
60% (6/10)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
52	53
Clearances
36	14
Interceptions
4	17
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
2.24	1.64
Goals prevented
1.24	0.64

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Rahmanovic A. ⚽,
29', Fernando Costanza 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Titkov N. ↓, Yenne T. ↑,
46', Marin J. ↓, Oleynikov I. ↑,
49', Mendel A. 🟨,
62', Babkin S. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Gil B. ⚽,
65', Rakov V. ↓, Vityugov M. ↑,
65', Fernando Costanza ↓, Banjac M. ↑,
69', Beveev M. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
69', Gil B. ↓, Mokhammad A. ↑,
81', Gassama N. 🟨,
82', Mendel A. ↓, Mourid A. ↑,
85', Rasskazov N. ↓, Ignatenko V. ↑,
85', Rahmanovic A. ↓, Sutormin A. ↑,
85', Oroz D. 🟨,
90', Petrov M. ↓, Utkin D. ↑,
90+1', Babkin S. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning

Krylya Sovetov
32.7%

Draw
30.5%

Baltika Kaliningrad
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krylya Sovetov's form might have worsened.

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baltika Kaliningrad's recent form is better than expected.

Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.55)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	2.64 ↓ (3.12)	2.8% (1.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Krylya Sovetov (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 3.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Baltika may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Baltika Kaliningrad?

Krylya Sovetov has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Krylya Sovetov?

Baltika Kaliningrad has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad were as follows:

20.04.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylya Sovetov 2:1

19.09.2023 Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylya Sovetov 1:2

27.08.2023 Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad 2:1

26.07.2023 Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad 2:3

Latest results of Krylya Sovetov

02.08.2025 Rostov - Krylya Sovetov 1:4 ✺

29.07.2025 Krasnodar - Krylya Sovetov 1:2 ✺

25.07.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Pari NN 2:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Krylya Sovetov 1:1 ✺

06.07.2025 Spartak Moscow - Krylya Sovetov 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad

03.08.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad - Orenburg 3:2 ✺

29.07.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Baltika Kaliningrad 2:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Spartak Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad 0:3 ✺

18.07.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad 1:1 ✺

06.07.2025 Zenit - Baltika Kaliningrad 1:2 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lokomotiv Moscow	6	4	2	0	16:9	7	14
2	Krasnodar	5	4	0	1	11:3	8	12
3	CSKA Moscow	5	3	2	0	11:4	7	11
4	Rubin Kazan	6	3	1	2	8:10	-2	10
5	Zenit	6	2	3	1	11:7	4	9
6	Baltika	5	2	3	0	9:5	4	9
7	Krylya Sovetov	5	2	2	1	9:6	3	8
8	Dynamo Moscow	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8
9	Spartak Moscow	6	2	2	2	8:10	-2	8
10	Akhmat Grozny	6	2	1	3	7:8	-1	7
11	Orenburg	6	1	3	2	7:8	-1	6
12	Akron Togliatti	5	1	3	1	8:5	3	6
13	Dynamo Makhachkala	6	1	2	3	3:9	-6	5
14	FK Rostov	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
15	Pari NN	6	1	0	5	4:12	-8	3
16	Sochi	5	0	1	4	3:15	-12	1

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL

Which TV channels are streaming of Krylya Sovetov - Baltika Kaliningrad?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1