Krasnodar vs Sochi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Russian Premier League Krasnodar - Sochi
17/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Krasnodar - Sochi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Krasnodar
70%
Draw
18.8%
Sochi
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.7% 19.4% 11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 13.7% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-21.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krasnodar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Krasnodar - Sochi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.43)
    5.07
    (5.07)
    8.53
    (8.25)
    5%
    (1.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 4.
    • Krasnodar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sochi has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sochi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Krasnodar is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Sochi were as follows:
    18.05.2024 Sochi - Krasnodar 2:3
    30.07.2023 Krasnodar - Sochi 2:0
    15.07.2023 Krasnodar - Sochi 2:2
    15.04.2023 Sochi - Krasnodar 0:2
    03.02.2023 Krasnodar - Sochi 1:0
    Latest results of Krasnodar
    13.08.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar 0:4
    10.08.2025 Orenburg - Krasnodar 0:1
    02.08.2025 Krasnodar - Dynamo Moscow 1:0
    29.07.2025 Krasnodar - Krylya Sovetov 1:2
    Latest results of Sochi
    13.08.2025 Sochi - Krylya Sovetov 2:1
    10.08.2025 Sochi - Dynamo Moscow 1:1
    04.08.2025 Rubin Kazan - Sochi 2:1
    29.07.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Sochi 3:2
    26.07.2025 Sochi - Akron Tolyatti 0:4
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow440012:5712
    2Krasnodar43016:249
    3CSKA Moscow42208:358
    4Krylya Sovetov42208:358
    5Baltika42208:448
    6Rubin Kazan42117:8-17
    7Akron Togliatti41307:346
    8Zenit41215:505
    9Dynamo Moscow41213:305
    10Dynamo Makhachkala41213:305
    11Spartak Moscow41124:8-44
    12Akhmat Grozny41032:5-33
    13FK Rostov41033:7-43
    14Orenburg40223:5-22
    15Sochi40132:10-81
    16Pari NN40042:9-70

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL

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