Orenburg vs Krasnodar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Russian Premier League Orenburg - Krasnodar
Result
0:1
10/08/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 4
  • Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)
Orenburg - Krasnodar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.571.29
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
68% (194/287)79% (339/428)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.571.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.020.71
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
2833
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1720
Passes
68% (194/287)79% (339/428)
Long passes
33% (19/58)50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
54% (66/123)65% (69/106)
Crosses
36% (5/14)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.971.74
Throw-ins
1219
Fouls
2018
Tackles
55% (6/11)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4661
Clearances
2830
Interceptions
1214
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.710.02
Goals prevented
-0.290.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Kasimov A. 🟨,
  • 30', Bolotov E. 🟨,
  • 40', Olaza L. , Gonzalez G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Bolotov E. , Kamilov V. ,
  • 62', Gurluk E. , Thompson J. ,
  • 62', Joao Batxi , Furtado G. ,
  • 71', Rybchinskiy D. , Lomakin A. ,
  • 72', Savelyev M. , Guzina G. ,
  • 72', Kamilov V. 🟨,
  • 73', Victor Sa , Lenini K. ,
  • 74', Douglas Augusto , Kozlov D. ,
  • 74', Spertsyan E. , Krivtsov N. ,
  • 76', 0 - 1, Krivtsov N. , Tormena (A),
  • 79', Kasimov A. , Revazov A. ,
  • 84', Chernikov A. 🟨,
  • 87', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Orenburg
11.8%
Draw
19.7%
Krasnodar
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.1% 21.9% 64%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Orenburg - Krasnodar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.2
    (6.97)
    4.9
    (4.51)
    1.41
    (1.54)
    3.5%
    (1.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.
    • Orenburg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Krasnodar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Orenburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Krasnodar has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Krasnodar is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Orenburg: Tataev A. (Red Card)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Krasnodar were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Orenburg - Krasnodar 1:2
    03.11.2024 Krasnodar - Orenburg 4:0
    03.12.2023 Krasnodar - Orenburg 2:1
    12.08.2023 Orenburg - Krasnodar 0:2
    13.11.2022 Orenburg - Krasnodar 5:1
    Latest results of Orenburg
    31.07.2025 Rubin Kazan - Orenburg 2:0
    21.07.2025 Orenburg - CSKA Moscow 0:0
    20.07.2025 Orenburg - Chelyabinsk 2:3
    Latest results of Krasnodar
    02.08.2025 Krasnodar - Dynamo Moscow 1:0
    29.07.2025 Krasnodar - Krylya Sovetov 1:2
    20.07.2025 Pari NN - Krasnodar 0:3
    12.07.2025 Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow 0:1
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar650117:31415
    2CSKA Moscow642014:5914
    3Lokomotiv Moscow642016:9714
    4Rubin Kazan63128:10-210
    5Zenit623111:749
    6Baltika52309:549
    7Dynamo Moscow62227:618
    8Spartak Moscow62228:10-28
    9Krylya Sovetov62229:12-38
    10Akhmat Grozny62137:8-17
    11Orenburg61327:8-16
    12Akron Togliatti61329:816
    13Dynamo Makhachkala61233:9-65
    14FK Rostov61146:11-54
    15Pari NN61054:12-83
    16Sochi50143:15-121

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL

    Which TV channels are streaming of Orenburg - Krasnodar?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaQ Sport Asia
    belarusBelarusBelarus 5
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
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