Dynamo Makhachkala vs Krasnodar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Anzhi Arena (Kaspijsk).

: Premier League - Round 26
Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.18	1.48
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
4	1
Passes
65% (174/267)	74% (270/364)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18	1.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.98	2.08
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
4	1
Touches in opposition box
22	15
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
25	18
Passes
65% (174/267)	74% (270/364)
Long passes
26% (18/68)	40% (27/68)
Passes in final third
53% (56/105)	55% (46/84)
Crosses
13% (3/23)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.01	1.02
Throw-ins
19	19
Fouls
18	25
Tackles
59% (10/17)	93% (14/15)
Duels won
60	68
Clearances
25	37
Interceptions
16	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
2.08	1.98
Goals prevented
-0.92	-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Cobnan M. D. ⚽, Cordoba J. (A),
13', Petrov S. 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, Hosseinnejad M. ⚽, Agalarov G. (A),
34', Diego Costa 🟨,
39', Cordoba J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Joao Batxi ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Petrov S. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
46', Cobnan M. D. ↓, Victor Sa ↑,
62', Glushkov N. 🟨,
65', 1 - 3, Spertsyan E. ⚽,
68', Glushkov N. ↓, Dzhabrailov A. ↑,
68', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Serderov S. ↑,
75', Chernikov A. ↓, Krivtsov N. ↑,
79', Spertsyan E. (Pen),
79', Mrezigue H. ↓, Zinovich K. ↑,
79', Sundukov T. ↓, Akaev A. ↑,
80', Agkatsev S. 🟨,
80', Diego Costa 🟨,
83', Joao Batxi ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
83', Spertsyan E. ↓, Kaio ↑,
86', 2 - 3, Zinovich K. ⚽,
87', Shumakhov I. ↓, Gadzhiev S. ↑,
88', Tabidze J. 🟨,
90+11', (Pen),

Chances of winning

Dynamo Makhachkala 19%

Draw 27.1%

Krasnodar 54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Dynamo Makhachkala 24.6%

Draw 28.5%

Krasnodar 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Dynamo Makhachkala 24.5%

Draw 28.4%

Krasnodar 47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Makhachkala's form might have worsened.

Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Krasnodar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Makhachkala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Krasnodar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dynamo Makhachkala - Krasnodar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (4)	3.45 ↓ (3.46)	1.73 ↓ (2.1)	7.1% (1.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Dynamo Makhachkala - Krasnodar?

The most likely score is 0:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1).
Recent matches Dynamo Makhachkala is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Krasnodar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently Krasnodar have a series of home games.
In this match Krasnodar is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Dynamo Makhachkala won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against Krasnodar?

Dynamo Makhachkala has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Dynamo Makhachkala?

Krasnodar has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Makhachkala - Krasnodar were as follows:

28.07.2024 Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala 0:0

29.06.2024 Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0

Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala

19.04.2025 Orenburg - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:2 ✺

06.04.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Khimki 4:1 ✺

29.03.2025 CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylya Sovetov 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Krasnodar

19.04.2025 Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny 3:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Zenit - Krasnodar 4:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti 1:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Krasnodar - Fakel 5:0 ✺

23.03.2025 Krasnodar - Amkal Moscow 6:1 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	27	18	7	2	54:21	33	61
2	Zenit	27	17	6	4	53:18	35	57
3	CSKA Moscow	27	15	7	5	42:19	23	52
4	Spartak Moscow	27	15	6	6	49:23	26	51
5	Dynamo Moscow	27	14	8	5	57:31	26	50
6	Lokomotiv Moscow	27	13	7	7	44:38	6	46
7	Rubin Kazan	27	11	6	10	35:40	-5	39
8	FK Rostov	27	10	8	9	40:40	0	38
9	Akron Togliatti	27	9	5	13	34:47	-13	32
10	Krylya Sovetov	27	8	6	13	33:43	-10	30
11	Dynamo Makhachkala	27	6	9	12	25:32	-7	27
12	Khimki	27	5	10	12	31:48	-17	25
13	Akhmat Grozny	27	4	12	11	24:41	-17	24
14	Pari NN	27	6	5	16	21:49	-28	23
15	Orenburg	27	4	6	17	24:49	-25	18
16	Fakel Voronezh	27	2	10	15	12:39	-27	16

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL

Which TV channels are streaming of Dynamo Makhachkala - Krasnodar?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 8