Korona Kielce vs Pogoń Szczecin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin
Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 8
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.321.73
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1821
Shots on target
610
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
127
Passes
77% (220/285)79% (296/377)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.321.73
xG on target (xGOT)
2.931.12
Total shots
1821
Shots on target
610
Shots off target
87
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
1312
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
127
Touches in opposition box
3329
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
108
Passes
77% (220/285)79% (296/377)
Long passes
51% (27/53)29% (12/41)
Passes in final third
69% (79/115)60% (72/120)
Crosses
18% (7/38)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.571.67
Throw-ins
914
Fouls
911
Tackles
63% (5/8)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4142
Clearances
3640
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
105
xGOT faced
1.122.93
Goals prevented
1.121.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Greenwood S. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Blanik D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Smolinski K. , Przyborek A. ,
  • 56', Kostorz K. , Mukairu P. ,
  • 56', Bieganski J. , Ulvestad F. ,
  • 65', Nono , Popov V. ,
  • 69', Antonin , Niski N. ,
  • 70', Blanik D. , Nikolov V. ,
  • 70', Greenwood S. , Molnar R. ,
  • 76', Remacle M. , Kaminski W. ,
  • 76', Dlugosz W. , Davidovic S. ,
  • 87', Koutris L. , Keramitsis D. ,
  • 89', Smolarczyk B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Korona Kielce
41.9%
Draw
27.1%
Pogoń Szczecin
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 28.8% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 28.6% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.48)
    3.48
    (3.2)
    3.01
    (2.72)
    6.1%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 7)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 0.
    • Korona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pogoń Szczecin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Korona could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Bieganski J. (Injury) Ulvestad F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 2 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
    09.12.2024 Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin 0:0
    20.07.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce 3:0
    17.03.2024 Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2
    16.09.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce 3:1
    18.03.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce 0:0
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1061315:8719
    2Cracovia953117:10718
    3Korona Kielce1053214:7718
    4Jagiellonia953116:12418
    5Wisla Plock952211:6517
    6Legia943212:6615
    7Lech Poznan943217:16115
    8Radomiak Radom932415:16-111
    9Rakow932410:13-311
    10Zaglebie824216:13310
    11Widzew Lodz1031613:13010
    12Motor Lublin82429:12-310
    13Pogon Szczecin1031614:19-510
    14Termalica B-B1023513:17-49
    15Arka Gdynia92345:10-59
    16GKS Katowice1022611:21-108
    17Piast Gliwice81437:9-27
    18Lechia Gdansk1032518:25-76

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Korona Kielce - Pogoń Szczecin?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
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