Result
1:1
17/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 30
- Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (338/424) | 82% (378/460) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (338/424) | 82% (378/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (12/42) | 30% (19/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (76/131) | 61% (77/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Thielmann J. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
- 51', Ache R. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
- 65', Ritzka L. ↓, Saliakas M. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 0, Mets K. ⚽, Wahl H. (A),
- 70', Castro-Montes A. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
- 71', Hountondji A. 🟨,
- 76', Ando T. 🟨,
- 77', Hountondji A. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
- 79', Sebulonsen S. ↓, Chavez F. ↑,
- 79', Johannesson I. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Waldschmidt L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', Pereira Lage M. 🟨,
- 87', El Mala S. 🟨,
- 87', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
- 90+6', Sinani D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St. Pauli
31.3% | Draw
29.4% | Köln
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Pauli's form might have worsened.Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Köln's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pauli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Köln, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St. Pauli - Köln Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↑
(2.35) |
3.25 ↓
(3.33) |
2.44 ↓
(3.07) |
4.4%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Köln?
- Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Köln will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.4% – 67.4%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.25 - St. Pauli (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 0.
- St. Pauli is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Köln's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Fujita J.
(Yellow Cards)
Jones R.J.
(Ankle Injury)
Sands J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Köln: Hubers T.
(Knee Injury)
Kilian L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Pauli: Smith E.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.7:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Köln?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against St. Pauli?
Köln has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Köln were as follows:
06.12.2025
Köln
-
St. Pauli
1:1
Latest results of St. Pauli
Draw
RelegationFinal| 1 | Wolfsburg | Paderborn | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of St. Pauli - Köln?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Asia | MBC Action |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5P |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | New World TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+ |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
