Nürnberg vs Köln: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German 2 Bundesliga Nürnberg - Köln
Result
1:2
09/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 2. Bundesliga - Round 33
  • Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
Nürnberg - Köln - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.642.45
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
523
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
08
Passes
82% (340/413)84% (353/422)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.642.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.971.45
Total shots
523
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
412
Blocked Shots
07
Shots inside the Box
413
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
03
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
08
Touches in opposition box
1143
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
711
Passes
82% (340/413)84% (353/422)
Long passes
45% (14/31)59% (30/51)
Passes in final third
63% (46/73)74% (108/145)
Crosses
29% (2/7)24% (8/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.472.23
Throw-ins
2825
Fouls
117
Tackles
67% (6/9)55% (12/22)
Duels won
3357
Clearances
2715
Interceptions
1116
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.450.97
Goals prevented
-0.55-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Gruber F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Emreli M. , Kusanovic T. ,
  • 46', 1 - 0, Antiste J. , Janisch T. (A),
  • 62', Drexler T. 🟨,
  • 62', Gazibegovic J. , Maina L. ,
  • 66', Lubach R. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Kainz F. , Lemperle T. (A),
  • 75', Heintz D. , Schmied J. ,
  • 76', Yilmaz B. , Villadsen O. ,
  • 85', Janisch T. , Valentini E. ,
  • 87', Huseinbasic D. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Kainz F. , Lemperle T. (A),
  • 90+3', Valentini E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Knoche R. , Porstner E. ,
  • 90+4', Lubach R. , Chiumento L. ,
  • 90+6', Waldschmidt L. , Uth M. ,

Chances of winning


Nürnberg
15.8%
Draw
20.7%
Köln
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 23.3% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 22.5% 51.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nürnberg's form might have worsened.
  • Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Köln's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nürnberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Köln, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nürnberg - Köln Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.94
    (4.04)
    4.59
    (4.04)
    1.51
    (1.77)
    4.9%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Köln?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • Recent form of Nürnberg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Köln has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Köln is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Castrop J. (Knee Injury) Danilo Soares (Yellow Cards) Tzimas S. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Köln: Gazibegovic J. (Ankle Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Köln were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Köln - Nürnberg 3:1
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    04.05.2025 Nürnberg - Elversberg 1:3
    19.04.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 2:3
    12.04.2025 Kaiserslautern - Nürnberg 1:2
    05.04.2025 Nürnberg - Hamburger SV 0:3
    Latest results of Köln
    03.05.2025 Köln - Jahn Regensburg 1:1
    27.04.2025 Hannover - Köln 1:0
    20.04.2025 Köln - Preußen Münster 3:1
    11.04.2025 Greuther Fürth - Köln 1:1
    05.04.2025 Köln - Hertha Berlin 0:1
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hamburger SV ✔ 331611676:413559
    2FC Koln33177949:381158
    3Elversberg331510862:362655
    4Paderborn331510856:431355
    5Dusseldorf331411855:48753
    6Kaiserslautern331581056:51553
    7Magdeburg331311960:501050
    8Hannover331311940:35550
    9Karlsruher SC3313101054:55-149
    10Nurnberg331361456:56045
    11Hertha Berlin331271448:50-243
    12Darmstadt331091453:54-139
    13Schalke331081551:60-938
    14Greuther Furth33991542:57-1536
    15Preussen Munster338111438:41-335
    16Braunschweig338111437:60-2335
    17Ulm ✔ 336111634:46-1229
    18Regensburg ✔ 33672022:68-4625

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Hamburger SV is Qualified for Bundesliga
    Ulm is Relegated to 3. Liga
    Regensburg is Relegated to 3. Liga
    Which TV channels are streaming of Nürnberg - Köln?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
    israelIsraelSport 1
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    polandPolandViaplay
    portugalPortugalDAZN 2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    worldWorldOnefootball
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