Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Turkish Super League Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa
Result
0:0
07/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Lig - Round 15
  • Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)
Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.19
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
82% (372/456)65% (145/223)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.00
Total shots
94
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
188
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
1910
Passes
82% (372/456)65% (145/223)
Long passes
53% (34/64)36% (22/61)
Passes in final third
64% (79/124)45% (29/64)
Crosses
15% (4/27)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.18
Throw-ins
3223
Fouls
1019
Tackles
100% (12/12)50% (5/10)
Duels won
4743
Clearances
2055
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.001.29
Goals prevented
0.001.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Espinoza J. 🟨,
  • 42', Smolcic H. , Balogh B. ,
  • 45', Oguz A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Linetty K. , Keita H. ,
  • 59', Nonge J. , Keles C. ,
  • 69', Barasi Y. 🟨,
  • 69', Barasi Y. , Kol A. ,
  • 81', Churlinov D. , Rivas R. ,
  • 82', Bingol T. , Petkovic B. ,
  • 85', Gueye P. , Kanatsizkus K. ,
  • 85', Diabate F. , Szalai At. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kocaelispor
53%
Draw
27.4%
Kasımpaşa
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 27.7% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 27.2% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.87)
    3.44
    (3.41)
    4.84
    (4.33)
    5.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa?
    • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 26.7%80.9%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -0.75 - Kocaelispor (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).
    • Kocaelispor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kasımpaşa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kasımpaşa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Kocaelispor is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Kocaelispor: Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Albayrak E. (Suspended) Cetinkaya E. (Inactive) Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury) Tasdemir E. (Injury) Yanar A. (Suspended)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1.5:5).
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    Latest results of Kasımpaşa
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray22174155:154055
    2Fenerbahce22157051:203152
    3Trabzonspor22136343:261745
    4Goztepe22118327:121541
    5Besiktas22117440:291140
    6Basaksehir2296738:251333
    7Kocaelispor2286821:22-130
    8Samsunspor2279625:27-230
    9Gaziantep2277829:38-928
    10Alanyaspor22511624:25-126
    11Genclerbirligi22651128:33-523
    12Antalyaspor22651122:35-1323
    13Rizespor2249926:35-921
    14Konyaspor22481025:35-1020
    15Kasimpasa22471119:31-1219
    16Eyupspor22461218:35-1718
    17Kayserispor222101017:43-2616
    18Karagumruk22331620:42-2212

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

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