Knox Raiders vs Melbourne Tigers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Basketball Australian NBL1 South Knox Raiders - Melbourne Tigers
Result
86:89
09/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NBL1 South - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Knox Raiders - Melbourne Tigers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Knox Raiders
60.1%
Melbourne Tigers
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Knox Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Knox Raiders's form might have worsened.
  • Melbourne Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Tigers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Knox Raiders than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Knox Raiders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Tigers than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Knox Raiders - Melbourne Tigers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.35)

    2.33
    (2.81)
    7.5%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 169.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Knox won 4.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Knox may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Knox will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Knox won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 616:551. (average 88:78.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Knox won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 351:318. (average 87.8:79.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Knox Raiders - Melbourne Tigers were as follows:
    14.06.2025 Knox Raiders - Melbourne Tigers 78:85
    14.04.2024 Melbourne Tigers - Knox Raiders 55:87
    14.05.2023 Melbourne Tigers - Knox Raiders 80:93
    Latest results of Knox Raiders
    Latest results of Melbourne Tigers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Mt Gambier (2)Kilsyth (3)97 : 61
    4Sandringham Sabres (5)Hobart Chargers (8)111 : 98
    5Knox (1)Eltham (4)72 : 67
    8Melbourne Tigers (6)Ballarat (7)89 : 77

    Quarter-finals
    1Mt Gambier (2)Bye
    2Eltham (4)Sandringham Sabres (5)75 : 93
    3Knox (1)Bye
    4Kilsyth (3)Melbourne Tigers (6)83 : 84

    Semi-finals
    1Mt Gambier (2)Sandringham Sabres (5)87 : 95
    2Knox (1)Melbourne Tigers (6)86 : 89

    Final
    1Sandringham Sabres (5)Melbourne Tigers (6)99 : 80
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