Dundee United vs Kilmarnock: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Scottish Premier League Dundee United - Kilmarnock
Result
0:2
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premiership - Round 6
  • Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)
Dundee United - Kilmarnock - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.491.46
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1817
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
76% (315/412)69% (203/295)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.491.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.242.46
Total shots
1817
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
179
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
3924
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
128
Passes
76% (315/412)69% (203/295)
Long passes
42% (27/64)22% (13/59)
Passes in final third
55% (60/109)55% (69/126)
Crosses
33% (9/27)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.890.62
Throw-ins
2329
Fouls
812
Tackles
68% (17/25)67% (8/12)
Duels won
8051
Clearances
1851
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
57
xGOT faced
2.462.24
Goals prevented
0.462.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Anderson B. , Watson D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', Camara P. 🟨,
  • 50', Deas R. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 2, Deas R. , Thompson D. (A),
  • 57', Fatah A. , Moller N. ,
  • 58', Dackers M. 🟨,
  • 58', Dolcek I. , Eskesen J. ,
  • 64', Kiltie G. , Lyons B. ,
  • 65', Anderson B. , Daniels D. ,
  • 67', Moller N. 🟨,
  • 76', Keresztes K. 🟨,
  • 78', Camara P. , Naamo D. ,
  • 78', Iovu I. , Sibbald C. ,
  • 83', Eskesen J. 🟨,
  • 83', Dackers M. , Watkins M. ,
  • 84', Polworth L. , McKenzie R. ,
  • 88', Sapsford Z. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Brown J. , Schilte-Brown E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dundee United
51.8%
Draw
25.3%
Kilmarnock
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 25.4% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 25.5% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Dundee United - Kilmarnock Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.92)
    3.7
    (3.65)
    4.11
    (3.53)
    5.4%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Dundee United - Kilmarnock?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Dundee Utd will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Kilmarnock will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dundee Utd: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dundee Utd (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Dundee Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Kilmarnock has had a series of home games.
    • Dundee Utd will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Dundee Utd: Graham R. (Muscle Injury) Pappoe I. (Knee Injury) Trapanovski K. (Hamstring Injury) Watters M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Brandon J. (Injury) Tiffoney S. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:33. (average 1.5:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dundee Utd won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dundee United - Kilmarnock were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Kilmarnock - Dundee United 2:1
    01.02.2025 Kilmarnock - Dundee United 1:0
    07.12.2024 Dundee United - Kilmarnock 1:1
    28.09.2024 Kilmarnock - Dundee United 3:3
    24.05.2023 Dundee United - Kilmarnock 0:3
    Latest results of Dundee United
    23.09.2025 Dundee United - Aberdeen 2:0
    13.09.2025 Hibernian - Dundee United 3:3
    31.08.2025 Dundee - Dundee United 0:2
    17.08.2025 Kilmarnock - Dundee United 2:1
    14.08.2025 Dundee United - Rapid Wien 2:3
    Latest results of Kilmarnock
    19.09.2025 Kilmarnock - St. Mirren 2:3
    14.09.2025 Kilmarnock - Celtic 1:2
    30.08.2025 Motherwell - Kilmarnock 2:2
    23.08.2025 Kilmarnock - Dundee 0:0
    17.08.2025 Kilmarnock - Dundee United 2:1
    Scottish Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hearts761016:61019
    2Celtic752011:3817
    3Kilmarnock724111:8310
    4Dundee Utd723212:1119
    5St. Mirren72325:6-19
    6Motherwell715111:1018
    7Hibernian715110:1008
    8Rangers71516:7-18
    9Livingston813410:14-46
    10Falkirk71338:13-56
    11Dundee FC81346:13-76
    12Aberdeen71154:9-54

          Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
          Premiership (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Dundee United - Kilmarnock?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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