Kerry vs Sligo Rovers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Irish FAI Cup Kerry - Sligo Rovers
Result
4:3 ET
12/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FAI Cup - Quarter-finals
Kerry - Sligo Rovers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
85
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
85
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
44
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Elding O. ,
  • 16', 0 - 2, Elding O. ,
  • 27', O'Connor D. , Brosnan C. ,
  • 37', O'Connell S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 60', Mujaguzi C. , Okwute D. ,
  • 60', Williams K. , Barrett F. ,
  • 61', 0 - 3, Elding O. ,
  • 62', Hakiki J. , Manning R. ,
  • 66', 1 - 3, Brosnan C. ,
  • 69', Stewart S. 🟨,
  • 76', Cleary R. , Healy A. ,
  • 76', Crowe O. , Mcgrath S. ,
  • 77', 2 - 3, Adams J. (Pen),
  • 78', Agbaje E. 🟨,
  • 82', O'Kane R. , Wolfe M. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Brosnan C. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 101', Harkin C. , Waweru W. ,
  • 101', Stewart S. , McDonagh K. ,
  • 109', McManus J. , Patton D. ,
  • 116', Patton D. 🟨,
  • 117', 4 - 3, Okwute D. ,
  • 120+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kerry
14.2%
Draw
18.9%
Sligo Rovers
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.4% 24% 54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1% 25.6% 58.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kerry's form might have worsened.
  • Sligo Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sligo Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kerry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sligo Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kerry - Sligo Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.1
    (4.26)
    6.08
    (3.8)
    1.72
    (1.67)
    -13.2%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kerry - Sligo Rovers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kerry (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Kerry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Kerry has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Sligo Rovers is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Kerry
    05.09.2025 Kerry - Cobh Ramblers 1:1
    29.08.2025 Dundalk - Kerry 3:3
    22.08.2025 Kerry - Longford Town 1:0
    15.08.2025 Kerry - Cobh Ramblers 2:0
    08.08.2025 Kerry - Finn Harps 0:1
    Latest results of Sligo Rovers
    Draw
    2025

    1/32-finals
    1Treaty UnitedBye
    2ByeDerry City
    3DroghedaBye
    4Crumlin UtdLucan Utd4 : 2
    5Shamrock RoversBye
    6ByeWexford
    7North End UnitedCastlebar Celtic1 : 4
    8ByeLongford
    9KerryBye
    10ByeAthlone
    11College CorinthiansBangor Celtic1 : 2
    12ByeCobh Ramblers
    13MidletonKillester Donnycarney0 : 6
    14ByeBohemians
    15DundalkBye
    16ByeSligo Rovers
    17Finn HarpsBye
    18ByeUC Dublin
    19BrayBye
    20Wayside CelticRiver Valley4 : 0
    21Cork CityBye
    22Leicester Celtic AFCFanad United2 : 1
    23WaterfordBye
    24St Mochta'sDouglas Hall4 : 0
    25St. PatricksBye
    26Ringmahon RangersUniversity College Cork1 : 3
    27Fairview RangersBaldoyle Utd.4 : 0
    28ByeShelbourne
    29SalthillLiffey Wanderers2 : 1
    30St. Michaels (WO.)Usher Celtic
    31GalwayBye
    32TolkaJanesboro3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Treaty UnitedDerry City1 : 5
    2DroghedaCrumlin Utd5 : 0
    3Shamrock RoversWexford4 : 0
    4Castlebar CelticLongford3 : 6
    5KerryAthlone2 : 1
    6Bangor CelticCobh Ramblers0 : 2
    7Killester DonnycarneyBohemians0 : 7
    8DundalkSligo Rovers0 : 2
    9Finn HarpsUC Dublin3 : 0
    10BrayWayside Celtic3 : 0
    11Cork CityLeicester Celtic AFC3 : 0
    12WaterfordSt Mochta's5 : 1
    13St. PatricksUniversity College Cork8 : 0
    14Fairview RangersShelbourne0 : 4
    15SalthillSt. Michaels1 : 0
    16GalwayTolka2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Derry CityDrogheda1 : 2
    2Shamrock RoversLongford2 : 1
    3KerryCobh Ramblers2 : 0
    4BohemiansSligo Rovers0 : 1
    5Finn HarpsBray3 : 1
    6Cork CityWaterford2 : 1
    7St. PatricksShelbourne2 : 0
    8SalthillGalway0 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1DroghedaShamrock Rovers1 : 2
    2KerrySligo Rovers4 : 3
    3Finn HarpsCork City0 : 3
    4St. PatricksGalway3 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Shamrock RoversKerry
    2Cork CitySt. Patricks
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