Keilor Thunder vs Geelong United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Basketball Australian NBL1 South Keilor Thunder - Geelong United
Result
85:80
18/07/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder - Geelong United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Keilor Thunder
57.2%
Geelong United
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keilor Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Geelong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keilor Thunder than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keilor Thunder that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geelong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Keilor Thunder - Geelong United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.7)

    2.21
    (1.89)
    6.1%
    (11.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 169.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Keilor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keilor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 468:475. (average 93.6:95).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Keilor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 307:275. (average 102.3:91.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Keilor Thunder - Geelong United were as follows:
    14.04.2024 Keilor Thunder - Geelong United 103:97
    15.07.2023 Geelong United - Keilor Thunder 116:85
    04.06.2023 Keilor Thunder - Geelong United 106:104
    Latest results of Keilor Thunder
    Latest results of Geelong United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Knox (1)Eltham (4)72 : 67
    4Melbourne Tigers (6)Ballarat (7)89 : 77
    5Mt Gambier (2)Kilsyth (3)97 : 61
    8Sandringham Sabres (5)Hobart Chargers (8)111 : 98

    Quarter-finals
    1Knox (1)Bye
    2Kilsyth (3)Melbourne Tigers (6)86 : 84
    3Mt Gambier (2)Bye
    4Eltham (4)Sandringham Sabres (5)75 : 93

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1Melbourne Tigers (6)
    2TBD #3Sandringham Sabres (5)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    X
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