Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Keçiörengücü: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Turkish First League Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü
Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : 1. Lig - Round 36
  • Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.21
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
70% (203/290)77% (318/412)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.21
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.23
Total shots
156
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
70% (203/290)77% (318/412)
Long passes
36% (20/56)50% (31/62)
Passes in final third
54% (61/113)60% (57/95)
Crosses
24% (4/17)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.690.47
Throw-ins
2520
Fouls
1616
Tackles
65% (11/17)84% (16/19)
Duels won
6054
Clearances
2235
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.231.19
Goals prevented
0.230.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Develi E. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Wesley Moraes , Kurukalip C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dere A. , Lus S. ,
  • 53', Silva M. 🟨,
  • 58', Dembele P. M. , Traore A. ,
  • 63', Kurukalip C. 🟨,
  • 67', Caliskan O. 🟨,
  • 72', Dovedan N. , Gurpuz G. ,
  • 77', Camara M. , Nahirci O. ,
  • 79', Traore A. 🟨,
  • 85', Silva M. , Caulker S. ,
  • 89', Ulvan T. , Dursun S. ,
  • 90+1', Dursun S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Sengul A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Camacho J. , Demiroglu B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
50.9%
Draw
25.3%
Keçiörengücü
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 24.2% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 25.4% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatih Karagümrükspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.67)
    3.68
    (3.82)
    3.92
    (4.54)
    7.5%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Fatih Karagümrükspor will win! (8 of 10 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Keçiörengücü could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Karagümrük is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Karagümrük: Ersoy O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Donertas K. (Suspended)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Karagümrük won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:15 (average 0.9:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Karagümrük won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Keçiörengücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor 0:1
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Latest results of Keçiörengücü
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Karagumruk (3)Bye
    3Bandirmaspor (5)Erzurumspor (6)2 : 0
    4Istanbulspor AS (4)Boluspor (7)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Karagumruk (3)Bye
    2Bandirmaspor (5)Boluspor (7)

    Final
    1Karagumruk (3)TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaTOD
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor
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