Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kawasaki Frontale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka).

: J1 League - Round 10

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	2.14
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
11	19
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
1	9
Passes
80% (364/456)	80% (380/476)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	2.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.03	1.91
Total shots
11	19
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
3	10
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
6	14
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
1	9
Touches in opposition box
30	39
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
15	12
Passes
80% (364/456)	80% (380/476)
Long passes
38% (19/50)	33% (15/45)
Passes in final third
65% (86/132)	70% (109/155)
Crosses
29% (2/7)	48% (10/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	1.76
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
50% (5/10)	68% (13/19)
Duels won
46	55
Clearances Total
31	14
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.91	1.03
Goals prevented
0.85	-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Matsuzaki K. 🟨,
42', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
45', Takai K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Yajima S. ↓, Capixaba ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Kitagawa K. (Pen),
64', Ienaga A. ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Yamamoto Y. ⚽, Miura S. (A),
73', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Hasukawa S. ↑,
75', Hasukawa S. 🟨,
77', Erison ↓, Ito T. ↑,
84', Kitazume K. 🟥,
85', Marcinho ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
85', Kawahara S. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
88', Kitagawa K. ↓, Shimamoto Y. ↑,
88', Inui T. ↓, Yumiba M. ↑,
88', Yoshida Y. ↓, Nishihara M. ↑,
90+8', Yamada S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shimizu S-Pulse
30.6%

Draw
28.7%

Kawasaki Frontale
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

28.8%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.35)	3.26 ↓ (3.28)	2.3 ↑ (2.19)	6.9% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 45% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 1.
Recent matches Shimizu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kawasaki is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Shimizu have a series of guest games.
Kawasaki will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kawasaki: Jesiel (Inactive) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Tachibanada K. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Shimizu: Yamahara R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Kawasaki: Haydar C. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 22:57 (average 1.1:2.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:21 (average 1.2:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kawasaki Frontale?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Kawasaki Frontale has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:

19.04.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse 6:0

08.03.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale 3:2

08.10.2022 Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:2

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

09.04.2025 Júbilo Iwata - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Yokohama FC - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Shonan Bellmare 3:0 ✺

26.03.2025 Sagamihara - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale

09.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:3 ✺

06.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale 2:2 ✺

02.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale 0:3 ✺

16.03.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Kawasaki Frontale 0:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	22	13	2	7	32:20	12	41
2	Kashiwa Reysol	22	11	8	3	30:20	10	41
3	Vissel Kobe	22	12	4	6	28:21	7	40
4	Kyoto	22	11	5	6	36:26	10	38
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	22	11	3	8	26:18	8	36
6	Kawasaki Frontale	22	9	8	5	35:23	12	35
7	Urawa Reds	21	9	7	5	26:20	6	34
8	Machida	22	10	4	8	30:25	5	34
9	Cerezo Osaka	22	9	6	7	34:29	5	33
10	Okayama	22	8	6	8	19:19	0	30
11	Avispa Fukuoka	22	8	6	8	19:21	-2	30
12	Gamba Osaka	22	8	4	10	26:30	-4	28
13	Nagoya Grampus	22	7	6	9	28:30	-2	27
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	22	7	6	9	27:29	-2	27
15	Verdy	22	7	6	9	15:23	-8	27
16	FC Tokyo	22	7	5	10	24:31	-7	26
17	Shonan Bellmare	21	6	5	10	16:26	-10	23
18	Yokohama FC	22	5	4	13	14:27	-13	19
19	Albirex Niigata	22	4	7	11	23:37	-14	19
20	Yokohama F. Marinos	22	3	6	13	19:32	-13	15

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan