Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kawasaki Frontale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka).

: J1 League - Round 10

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	2.14
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
11	19
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
1	9
Passes
80% (364/456)	80% (380/476)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57	2.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.03	1.91
Total shots
11	19
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
3	10
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
6	14
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
1	9
Touches in opposition box
30	39
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
15	12
Passes
80% (364/456)	80% (380/476)
Long passes
38% (19/50)	33% (15/45)
Passes in final third
65% (86/132)	70% (109/155)
Crosses
29% (2/7)	48% (10/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	1.76
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
50% (5/10)	68% (13/19)
Duels won
46	55
Clearances Total
31	14
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.91	1.03
Goals prevented
0.85	-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Matsuzaki K. 🟨,
42', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
45', Takai K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Yajima S. ↓, Capixaba ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Kitagawa K. (Pen),
64', Ienaga A. ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Yamamoto Y. ⚽, Miura S. (A),
73', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Hasukawa S. ↑,
75', Hasukawa S. 🟨,
77', Erison ↓, Ito T. ↑,
84', Kitazume K. 🟥,
85', Marcinho ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
85', Kawahara S. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
88', Kitagawa K. ↓, Shimamoto Y. ↑,
88', Inui T. ↓, Yumiba M. ↑,
88', Yoshida Y. ↓, Nishihara M. ↑,
90+8', Yamada S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shimizu S-Pulse
30.6%

Draw
28.7%

Kawasaki Frontale
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

28.8%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.35)	3.26 ↓ (3.28)	2.3 ↑ (2.19)	6.9% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 45% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 1.
Recent matches Shimizu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kawasaki is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Shimizu have a series of guest games.
Kawasaki will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kawasaki: Jesiel (Inactive) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Tachibanada K. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Shimizu: Yamahara R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Kawasaki: Haydar C. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 22:57 (average 1.1:2.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Shimizu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:21 (average 1.2:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kawasaki Frontale?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Kawasaki Frontale has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:

19.04.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse 6:0

08.03.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale 3:2

08.10.2022 Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:2

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

09.04.2025 Júbilo Iwata - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Yokohama FC - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Shonan Bellmare 3:0 ✺

26.03.2025 Sagamihara - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale

09.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:3 ✺

06.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale 2:2 ✺

02.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale 0:3 ✺

16.03.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Kawasaki Frontale 0:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	32	20	4	8	52:28	24	64
2	Vissel Kobe	32	18	6	8	43:27	16	60
3	Kyoto	31	16	8	7	54:33	21	56
4	Kashiwa Reysol	31	15	11	5	43:29	14	56
5	Machida	32	16	7	9	48:33	15	55
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	32	16	7	9	37:22	15	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	31	14	9	8	55:40	15	51
8	Urawa Reds	32	13	10	9	39:32	7	49
9	Gamba Osaka	32	15	4	13	46:47	-1	49
10	Cerezo Osaka	31	11	10	10	48:45	3	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	32	10	10	12	34:38	-4	40
12	Okayama	32	11	7	14	28:34	-6	40
13	FC Tokyo	31	11	7	13	33:42	-9	40
14	Avispa Fukuoka	32	9	10	13	31:37	-6	37
15	Nagoya Grampus	32	9	9	14	38:47	-9	36
16	Verdy	32	9	9	14	20:35	-15	36
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	31	7	7	17	29:41	-12	28
18	Yokohama FC	31	7	7	17	20:36	-16	28
19	Shonan Bellmare	31	6	7	18	28:55	-27	25
20	Albirex Niigata	32	4	9	19	29:54	-25	21

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan