Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Kawasaki Frontale - Sagan Tosu
Result
3:2
13/09/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 30
Kawasaki Frontale - Sagan Tosu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
1417
Shots on Goal
76
Shots off Goal
711
Free Kicks
108
Corner Kicks
84
Offsides
31
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Fouls
59
Yellow Cards
01
Total Passes
597498
Completed Passes
456392
Tackles
1923
Attacks
129104
Dangerous Attacks
6663
Clearances Completed
3130
Crosses Completed
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Tachibanada K. , Oshima R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Erison , Yamada S. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Kubo T. , Togashi C. (A),
  • 60', Wermeskerken S. V. , Miura S. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Ienaga A. ,
  • 62', Hino S. , Slivka V. ,
  • 69', Wakizaka Y. , Marcinho ,
  • 69', Oshima R. , Takai K. ,
  • 75', Narahara Y. , Kiyotake H. ,
  • 75', Nakahara H. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 81', Tono D. , Segawa Y. ,
  • 90', 2 - 2, Kiyotake H. (Pen),
  • 90+2', Kim Tae-Hyeon 🟨,
  • 90+9', Slivka V. , Terayama T. ,
  • 90+9', Sasaki A. , Kobayashi Y. ,
  • 90+10', 3 - 2, Yamada S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kawasaki Frontale
67.2%
Draw
19%
Sagan Tosu
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 20.1% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 14.7% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-20.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kawasaki Frontale that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sagan Tosu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kawasaki Frontale - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.47)
    5.03
    (4.66)
    6.71
    (5.87)
    6.3%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Sagan Tosu?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 48.9%92.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 3.
    • Kawasaki is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Tosu has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Tosu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Kawasaki is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kawasaki won 9 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24-17.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kawasaki won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
    15.05.2024 Sagan Tosu - Kawasaki Frontale 5:2
    03.12.2023 Sagan Tosu - Kawasaki Frontale 0:1
    07.05.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Sagan Tosu 1:0
    31.08.2022 Kawasaki Frontale - Sagan Tosu 4:0
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kawasaki Frontale - Sagan Tosu?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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