Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia
Result
5:3
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 28
Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.471.65
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
76% (273/360)75% (287/382)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.471.65
xG on target (xGOT)
3.112.48
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
144
Passes
76% (273/360)75% (287/382)
Long passes
29% (17/58)30% (21/70)
Passes in final third
58% (62/106)62% (91/146)
Crosses
30% (3/10)23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.891.09
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
716
Tackles
56% (5/9)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5741
Clearances
3526
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.483.11
Goals prevented
-0.52-1.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Ito T. , Kawahara S. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Na Sang-Ho , Soma Y. (A),
  • 36', 1 - 2, Shimoda H. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 2, Erison , Yamamoto Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Tachibanada K. , Marcinho ,
  • 59', Dresevic I. 🟨,
  • 60', Shimoda H. , Lavi N. ,
  • 60', Na Sang-Ho , Nishimura T. ,
  • 61', Ito T. , Miyagi T. ,
  • 65', 3 - 2, Miyagi T. , Erison (A),
  • 71', 3 - 3, Fujio S. , Soma Y. (A),
  • 75', Uremovic F. , Jesiel ,
  • 77', Fujio S. , Oh Se-Hun ,
  • 78', 4 - 3, Erison , Wakizaka Y. (A),
  • 80', Erison , Kanda S. ,
  • 82', Shoji G. 🟨,
  • 85', Mae H. , Shirasaki R. ,
  • 85', Hayashi K. , Duke M. ,
  • 90+10', 5 - 3, Marcinho , Wakizaka Y. (A),
  • 90+11', Marcinho 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Kawasaki Frontale
32.9%
Draw
27.8%
Machida Zelvia
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 28.4% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 29.3% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • The chances for Machida Zelvia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.93)
    3.35
    (3.34)
    2.4
    (2.42)
    6.5%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 42%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).
    • Kawasaki has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Machida Zelvia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S. (Calf Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Okamura D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Kawasaki: Maruyama Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Kawasaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale 2:2
    05.10.2024 Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale 1:4
    07.04.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia 0:1
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers34206852:282466
    2Kashiwa Reysol341712553:332063
    3Vissel Kobe34187943:281561
    4Kyoto33179757:352260
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima34178939:231659
    6Kawasaki Frontale341511865:481756
    7Machida341681049:351456
    8Urawa Reds3414101040:36452
    9Gamba Osaka341551446:52-650
    10Cerezo Osaka3412101252:50246
    11FC Tokyo341191436:46-1042
    12Verdy341191422:35-1342
    13Avispa Fukuoka3410111332:37-541
    14Shimizu S-Pulse3410111338:44-641
    15Okayama341181530:37-741
    16Nagoya Grampus3410101442:50-840
    17Yokohama F. Marinos34971836:44-834
    18Yokohama FC34881823:39-1632
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata344102030:56-2622

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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