Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale
Result
2:2
06/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 9
Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.37
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
78% (286/365)78% (323/414)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.542.04
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2131
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
712
Passes
78% (286/365)78% (323/414)
Long passes
45% (26/58)44% (31/70)
Passes in final third
59% (73/123)68% (100/146)
Crosses
17% (4/24)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.901.38
Fouls
127
Tackles
75% (6/8)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4651
Clearances Total
4019
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.041.54
Goals prevented
0.04-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', Tachibanada K. , Yamamoto Y. ,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Erison ,
  • 20', Okamura D. 🟨,
  • 33', Jesiel , Kurumaya S. ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Okamura D. , Nakayama Y. (A),
  • 41', Soma Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 1, Nishimura T. , Soma Y. (A),
  • 67', Soma Y. , Fujio S. ,
  • 67', Oh Se-Hun , Kuwayama K. ,
  • 70', Erison , Ito T. ,
  • 70', Marcinho , Miyagi T. ,
  • 71', Ienaga A. , Yamada S. ,
  • 73', 2 - 2, Kawahara S. ,
  • 81', Sento K. , Shirasaki R. ,
  • 90+3', Nishimura T. , Numata T. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Machida Zelvia
34.3%
Draw
29.6%
Kawasaki Frontale
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 29.6% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 29.6% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.66)
    3.16
    (3.18)
    2.59
    (2.69)
    7%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • Machida Zelvia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Kawasaki is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Machida Zelvia have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Kobayashi Y. (Shoulder Injury) Kurumaya S. (Muscle Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Machida Zelvia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale 1:4
    07.04.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia 0:1
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashiwa Reysol23128331:201144
    2Vissel Kobe23134632:211143
    3Kyoto23125638:271141
    4Kashima Antlers23132833:221141
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima23123827:18939
    6Kawasaki Frontale23108537:241338
    7Machida23114833:25837
    8Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    9Cerezo Osaka2396834:30433
    10Gamba Osaka23941027:30-331
    11Okayama2386919:20-130
    12Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    13Nagoya Grampus2377928:30-228
    14Verdy2377915:23-828
    15Shimizu S-Pulse23761027:32-527
    16FC Tokyo23751124:32-826
    17Shonan Bellmare22651116:30-1423
    18Yokohama FC23541414:28-1419
    19Albirex Niigata23471224:39-1519
    20Yokohama F. Marinos23461320:32-1218

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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