Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia
Result
5:3
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 28
Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.471.65
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
76% (273/360)75% (287/382)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.471.65
xG on target (xGOT)
3.112.48
Total shots
1517
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
144
Passes
76% (273/360)75% (287/382)
Long passes
29% (17/58)30% (21/70)
Passes in final third
58% (62/106)62% (91/146)
Crosses
30% (3/10)23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.891.09
Throw-ins
2619
Fouls
716
Tackles
56% (5/9)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5741
Clearances
3526
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.483.11
Goals prevented
-0.52-1.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Ito T. , Kawahara S. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Na Sang-Ho , Soma Y. (A),
  • 36', 1 - 2, Shimoda H. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 2, Erison , Yamamoto Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Tachibanada K. , Marcinho ,
  • 59', Dresevic I. 🟨,
  • 60', Shimoda H. , Lavi N. ,
  • 60', Na Sang-Ho , Nishimura T. ,
  • 61', Ito T. , Miyagi T. ,
  • 65', 3 - 2, Miyagi T. , Erison (A),
  • 71', 3 - 3, Fujio S. , Soma Y. (A),
  • 75', Uremovic F. , Jesiel ,
  • 77', Fujio S. , Oh Se-Hun ,
  • 78', 4 - 3, Erison , Wakizaka Y. (A),
  • 80', Erison , Kanda S. ,
  • 82', Shoji G. 🟨,
  • 85', Mae H. , Shirasaki R. ,
  • 85', Hayashi K. , Duke M. ,
  • 90+10', 5 - 3, Marcinho , Wakizaka Y. (A),
  • 90+11', Marcinho 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Kawasaki Frontale
32.9%
Draw
27.8%
Machida Zelvia
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 28.4% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 29.3% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • The chances for Machida Zelvia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.93)
    3.35
    (3.34)
    2.4
    (2.42)
    6.5%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 42%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).
    • Kawasaki has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Machida Zelvia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S. (Calf Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Okamura D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Kawasaki: Maruyama Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Kawasaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale 2:2
    05.10.2024 Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale 1:4
    07.04.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia 0:1
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto28166652:302254
    2Kashiwa Reysol28158542:281453
    3Vissel Kobe29165837:261153
    4Kashima Antlers28164841:271452
    5Machida29155945:311450
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima29155934:201450
    7Urawa Reds28138739:30947
    8Kawasaki Frontale28129750:381245
    9Gamba Osaka291241338:44-640
    10Cerezo Osaka28109942:39339
    11Okayama281161126:28-239
    12Avispa Fukuoka28910928:28037
    13Shimizu S-Pulse28891131:36-533
    14Verdy28881216:28-1232
    15FC Tokyo28871330:42-1231
    16Nagoya Grampus28781334:42-829
    17Yokohama F. Marinos28671526:35-925
    18Shonan Bellmare28671526:47-2125
    19Yokohama FC28651718:35-1723
    20Albirex Niigata28481627:48-2120

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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