Kauno Žalgiris vs Sūduva Marijampolė: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Lithuanian A Lyga Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė
24/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : A Lyga - Round 24
Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Kauno Žalgiris
36.2%
Draw
32.5%
Sūduva Marijampolė
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 25% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 24.6% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kauno Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauno Žalgiris's form might have worsened.
  • Sūduva Marijampolė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kauno Žalgiris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.05)
    3.45
    (3.6)
    3.59
    (2.9)
    -10.9%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 0.
    • Kauno Žalgiris is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Sūduva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kauno Žalgiris will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė 0:2
    13.06.2025 Sūduva Marijampolė - Kauno Žalgiris 0:0
    12.04.2025 Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė 0:0
    09.11.2024 Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė 2:4
    17.08.2024 Sūduva Marijampolė - Kauno Žalgiris 1:1
    Latest results of Kauno Žalgiris
    Latest results of Sūduva Marijampolė
    Lithuanian A Lyga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kauno Zalgiris28196357:183963
    2Hegelmann29182946:351156
    3Suduva281310540:271349
    4Siauliai FA29137948:381046
    5Zalgiris291210741:33846
    6Dziugas Telsiai291151327:32-538
    7FK Panevezys291151339:37238
    8Banga29951525:30-532
    9Riteriai29452029:65-3617
    10Dainava Alytus29371923:60-3716

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          A Lyga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ I Lyga

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