Katarzyna Kawa vs Claire Liu: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA US Open Katarzyna Kawa - Claire Liu
Result
0:2
18/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals
Katarzyna Kawa - Claire Liu - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
36
1st Serve Percentage
50%71%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (15/23)67% (32/48)
2nd Serve Points Won
30% (7/23)45% (9/20)
Break Points Saved
38% (3/8)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
35% (17/48)39% (9/23)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (11/20)70% (16/23)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)63% (5/8)
Winners
1115
Unforced Errors
1819
Net Points Won
40% (4/10)59% (10/17)
Service Points Won
46% (21/46)60% (41/68)
Return Points Won
40% (27/68)54% (25/46)
Total Points Won
42% (48/114)58% (66/114)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
38% (3/8)88% (7/8)
Return Games Won
13% (1/8)63% (5/8)
Total Games Won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Katarzyna Kawa
36.1%
Claire Liu
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 55.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Katarzyna Kawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Katarzyna Kawa's form might have worsened.
  • Claire Liu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Claire Liu's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katarzyna Kawa than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Katarzyna Kawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Claire Liu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Katarzyna Kawa - Claire Liu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (1.83)

    1.5
    (1.83)
    4.8%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Katarzyna Kawa - Claire Liu?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 Games - Liu (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Claire Liu will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Claire Liu will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kawa is ranked WTA: 120. Liu is ranked WTA: 388.
    • Kawa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Liu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Katarzyna Kawa
    Latest results of Claire Liu
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)Kudermetova P.0 : 0
    3Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    4Marino R. (Q)Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (19)Ahn A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Sun L.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Bucsa C.Liu C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Eala A.Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    9Rybakina E. (9)Pareja J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    11Raducanu E.Shibahara E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tjen J. (Q)Kudermetova V. (24)2 : 1
    13Kessler M. (32)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    15Sasnovich A.Jovic I.0 : 2
    16Aiava D. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    18Starodubtseva Y.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    19Azarenka V.Inoue H. (Q)2 : 0
    20Pavlyuchenkova A.Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    21Samsonova L. (17)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    22Jeanjean L.Hon P. (Q)0 : 2
    23Li A.Sramkova R.2 : 1
    24Zhang S. (Q)Bencic B. (16)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (10)Wang Y.2 : 0
    26Teichmann J.McNally C. (WC)0 : 2
    27Uchijima M.Danilovic O.2 : 1
    28Krejcikova B.Mboko V. (22)2 : 0
    29Ostapenko J. (25)Wang Xiy. (Q)2 : 0
    30Townsend T.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Zhu L.2 : 1
    32Parks A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    33Keys M. (6)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    34Kvitova P.Parry D.0 : 2
    35Volynets K. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    36Boulter K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    37Noskova L. (21)Galfi D. (Q)2 : 0
    38Jones F. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    39Cirstea S.Sierra S.2 : 0
    40Williams V. (WC)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    41Kasatkina D. (15)Ruse G.2 : 0
    42Rakhimova K.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 1
    43Baptiste H.Siniakova K.2 : 0
    44Minnen G.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    45Frech M. (28)Gibson T. (WC)2 : 0
    46Semenistaja D. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    47Vekic D.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    48Tomljanovic A.Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    49Anisimova A. (8)Birrell K.2 : 0
    50Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    51Collins D.Cristian J.0 : 2
    52Krueger A.Kenin S. (26)2 : 1
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Kartal S.2 : 1
    54Boisson L.Golubic V.1 : 2
    55Sakkari M.Maria T.2 : 0
    56Bondar A.Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    57Alexandrova E. (13)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    58Dolehide C.Wang Xin.1 : 2
    59Zakharova A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    60Siegemund L.Shnaider D. (20)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (29)Ngounoue C. (WC)2 : 1
    62Putintseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    63Lamens S.Glozman V. (WC)2 : 0
    64Arango E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    2Jacquemot E.Fernandez L. (31)1 : 2
    3Mertens E. (19)Sun L.2 : 0
    4Bucsa C.Eala A.2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (9)Valentova T.2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Tjen J.2 : 0
    7Kessler M. (32)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (4)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    10Azarenka V.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    11Samsonova L. (17)Hon P.1 : 2
    12Li A.Bencic B. (16)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)McNally C.2 : 0
    14Uchijima M.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    15Ostapenko J. (25)Townsend T.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    17Zarazua R.Parry D.1 : 2
    18Sonmez Z.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    19Noskova L. (21)Lys E. (RET.)1 : 0
    20Cirstea S.Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    21Kasatkina D. (15)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    22Baptiste H.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    23Frech M. (28)Stearns P.2 : 1
    24Vekic D.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Anisimova A. (8)Joint M.2 : 0
    26Cristian J.Krueger A.2 : 1
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Golubic V.2 : 0
    28Sakkari M.Bondar A.2 : 0
    29Alexandrova E. (13)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    30Zakharova A.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    31Kalinskaya A. (29)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    32Lamens S.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Fernandez L. (31)
    2Mertens E. (19)Bucsa C.
    3Rybakina E. (9)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    4Vondrousova M.Paolini J. (7)
    5Pegula J. (4)Azarenka V.
    6Hon P.Li A.
    7Navarro E. (10)Krejcikova B.
    8Townsend T.Andreeva M. (5)
    9Parry D.Kostyuk M. (27)
    10Noskova L. (21)Muchova K. (11)
    11Kasatkina D. (15)Osaka N. (23)
    12Frech M. (28)Gauff C. (3)
    13Anisimova A. (8)Cristian J.
    14Haddad Maia B. (18)Sakkari M.
    15Alexandrova E. (13)Siegemund L.
    16Kalinskaya A. (29)Swiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Rybakina E. (9)TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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