Kasımpaşa vs Galatasaray: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Turkish Super League Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray
Result
3:3
02/03/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 26
  • Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)
Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.432.70
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1418
Shots on Goal
86
Shots off Goal
47
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
103
Shots inside the Box
1210
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Free Kicks
1113
Offsides
32
Fouls
1311
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
2019
Touches in the Opposition Box
3227
Passes
73% (232/318)79% (291/367)
Passes in the final third
75% (73/97)67% (81/121)
Crosses
41% (7/17)29% (5/17)
Tackles
53% (8/15)73% (11/15)
Clearances Total
3231
Interceptions
111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', Ozcan Y. 🟨,
  • 6', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 1, Osimhen V. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Ozcan Y. , Rodrigues K. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Ben Ouanes M. , Piatkowski K. (A),
  • 56', Brekalo J. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Brekalo J. , Gul G. (A),
  • 65', Sallai R. , Kutucu A. ,
  • 65', Lemina M. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 2, Lemina M. , Sanchez D. (A),
  • 71', 2 - 3, Osimhen V. , Muslera F. (A),
  • 77', Brekalo J. , Keles C. ,
  • 80', Elmali E. , Cuesta C. ,
  • 80', Lemina M. , Ayhan K. ,
  • 84', Cuesta C. 🟨,
  • 85', 3 - 3, Hajradinovic H. (Pen),
  • 90', Bardakci A. , Demir Y. ,
  • 90+1', Torreira L. , Mertens D. ,
  • 90+1', Ben Ouanes M. , Cafu ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kasımpaşa
19.3%
Draw
22.2%
Galatasaray
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16% 18.9% 65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 18.5% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galatasaray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.89
    (6.11)
    4.25
    (5.16)
    1.61
    (1.5)
    6%
    (2.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and Turkish Super League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS 5
  • What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 26 - 83.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 71%96.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 0.
    • Kasımpaşa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Galatasaray is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Kasımpaşa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Galatasaray is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Yanar A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Galatasaray: Akgun Y. (Yellow Cards) Icardi M. (Knee Injury) Jakobs I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Morata A. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 28:46 (average 1.4:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:19 (average 1.5:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Galatasaray - Kasımpaşa 3:3
    17.03.2024 Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray 3:4
    03.11.2023 Galatasaray - Kasımpaşa 2:1
    11.03.2023 Galatasaray - Kasımpaşa 1:0
    11.09.2022 Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray 2:3
    Latest results of Kasımpaşa
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    27.02.2025 Galatasaray - Konyaspor 0:0
    24.02.2025 Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe 0:0
    20.02.2025 Galatasaray - AZ Alkmaar 2:2
    13.02.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Galatasaray 4:1
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kayserispor00000:000
    2Trabzonspor00000:000
    3Antalyaspor00000:000
    4Gaziantep00000:000
    5Samsunspor00000:000
    6Alanyaspor00000:000
    7Eyupspor00000:000
    8Karagumruk00000:000
    9Galatasaray00000:000
    10Fenerbahce00000:000
    11Besiktas00000:000
    12Konyaspor00000:000
    13Genclerbirligi00000:000
    14Rizespor00000:000
    15Kasimpasa00000:000
    16Kocaelispor00000:000
    17Basaksehir00000:000
    18Goztepe00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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