Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul).

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 28
Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.50	2.15
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Goal Attempts
11	15
Shots on Goal
5	2
Shots off Goal
4	10
Blocked Shots
2	3
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
2	6
Shots inside the Box
10	11
Shots outside the Box
1	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
Free Kicks
12	13
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
13	12
Yellow Cards
2	1
Throw-ins
11	28
Touches in the Opposition Box
24	25
Passes
78% (262/334)	81% (322/398)
Passes in the final third
66% (65/98)	61% (70/114)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	25% (6/24)
Tackles
80% (16/20)	54% (7/13)
Clearances Total
55	24
Interceptions
8	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Fall M. ⚽, Gul G. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Hajradinovic H. (Pen),
38', 2 - 1, Vilhena T. ⚽, Richard (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aksoy F. ↓, Hwang Ui-Jo ↑,
49', Ozdemir Y. 🟨,
56', Fall M. 🟨,
63', Ozcan Y. ↓, Brekalo J. ↑,
65', Keskin E. ↓, Karaca E. ↑,
73', Espinoza J. 🟨,
76', Da Costa N. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
82', Hadergjonaj F. ↓, Janvier N. ↑,
90+6', Gul G. ↓, Cafu ↑,
90+6', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Ciftpinar S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kasımpaşa
49.4%

Draw
26.7%

Alanyaspor
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

25.9%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

26.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kasımpaşa's performance.

Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alanyaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kasımpaşa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alanyaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.2)	3.56 ↓ (3.7)	3.92 ↑ (3.11)	5.7% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor?

The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Kasımpaşa will win! (11 of 13 users predict this).

Preview Facts

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 4.
Kasımpaşa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Alanyaspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Alanyaspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Kasımpaşa will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Kara A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bulut B. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Yanar A. (Muscle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 36:34 (average 1.8:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:12 (average 2.2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Alanyaspor?

Kasımpaşa has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against Kasımpaşa?

Alanyaspor has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor were as follows:

20.10.2024 Alanyaspor - Kasımpaşa 1:2

04.02.2024 Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor 2:1

17.09.2023 Alanyaspor - Kasımpaşa 3:3

30.05.2023 Alanyaspor - Kasımpaşa 1:3

04.01.2023 Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor 4:1

Latest results of Kasımpaşa

07.03.2025 Bodrumspor - Kasımpaşa 1:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray 3:3 ✺

27.02.2025 Kasımpaşa - Göztepe 0:5 ✺

22.02.2025 Antalyaspor - Kasımpaşa 2:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Alanyaspor

09.03.2025 Alanyaspor - Galatasaray 1:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor 3:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Ankaragücü - Alanyaspor 1:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Alanyaspor - Adana Demirspor 3:2 ✺

16.02.2025 Hatayspor - Alanyaspor 1:0 ✺

Turkish Super League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	33	27	5	1	84:31	53	86
2	Fenerbahce	33	24	6	3	84:33	51	78
3	Besiktas	33	16	10	7	53:33	20	58
4	Samsunspor	33	17	6	10	50:38	12	57
5	Basaksehir	33	15	6	12	55:49	6	51
6	Eyupspor	34	14	8	12	49:44	5	50
7	Goztepe	33	12	11	10	54:41	13	47
8	Konyaspor	34	13	7	14	43:46	-3	46
9	Trabzonspor	33	12	10	11	53:42	11	46
10	Kasimpasa	33	11	13	9	57:56	1	46
11	Kayserispor	33	11	11	11	43:51	-8	44
12	Antalyaspor	33	12	7	14	36:58	-22	43
13	Gaziantep	33	12	6	15	41:46	-5	42
14	Rizespor	33	12	4	17	39:52	-13	40
15	Alanyaspor	33	10	8	15	38:48	-10	38
16	Bodrumspor	33	9	8	16	24:37	-13	35
17	Sivasspor	34	9	8	17	44:57	-13	35
18	Hatayspor ✔	34	5	8	21	41:67	-26	23
19	Adana Demirspor ✔	34	2	4	28	29:88	-59	-2

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ 1. Lig

Clinched Spots for Teams

Hatayspor is Relegated to 1. Lig
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to 1. Lig

Which TV channels are streaming of Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1