Kashiwa Reysol vs Tokyo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo
Result
1:0
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 23
Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.74
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
85% (470/556)79% (303/382)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.330.52
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2528
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
68
Passes
85% (470/556)79% (303/382)
Long passes
40% (16/40)48% (29/61)
Passes in final third
74% (129/174)66% (60/91)
Crosses
57% (4/7)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.39
Throw-ins
2125
Fouls
86
Tackles
83% (20/24)27% (3/11)
Duels won
4640
Clearances
2515
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.520.33
Goals prevented
0.52-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', Nakagawa T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Yamada Y. 🟨,
  • 59', Nozawa L. , Sato K. ,
  • 59', Nakagawa T. , Marcelo Ryan ,
  • 67', Watai M. , Komi Y. ,
  • 71', Endo K. , Tawaratsumida K. ,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Kubo T. , Koyamatsu T. (A),
  • 82', Ko T. , Koizumi K. ,
  • 82', Muroya S. , Nagatomo Y. ,
  • 86', Kakita Y. , Hosoya M. ,
  • 86', Koyamatsu T. , Diego ,
  • 88', Diego 🟨,
  • 89', Koizumi Y. , Nakama H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kashiwa Reysol
52.2%
Draw
24.8%
Tokyo
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 24.2% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 23.4% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.74)
    3.78
    (3.94)
    4.12
    (4.58)
    6.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 58.6%97%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashiwa Reysol will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1.
    • Kashiwa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tokyo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kashiwa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Harakawa R. (Inactive) Kumasaka K. (Inactive) Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury) Tezuka K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Henrique Trevisan (Calf Injury) Kim Seung-Gyu (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tokyo: Shirai K. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Kashiwa will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1
    06.07.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 3:2
    11.05.2024 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 3:3
    01.07.2023 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 1:0
    26.02.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:1
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Latest results of Tokyo
    28.06.2025 Tokyo - Yokohama FC 2:1
    22.06.2025 Gamba Osaka - Tokyo 2:0
    18.06.2025 Tokyo - Zweigen Kanazawa 3:1
    14.06.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:2
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto28166652:302254
    2Kashiwa Reysol28158542:281453
    3Vissel Kobe29165837:261153
    4Kashima Antlers28164841:271452
    5Machida29155945:311450
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima29155934:201450
    7Urawa Reds28138739:30947
    8Kawasaki Frontale28129750:381245
    9Gamba Osaka291241338:44-640
    10Cerezo Osaka28109942:39339
    11Okayama281161126:28-239
    12Avispa Fukuoka28910928:28037
    13Shimizu S-Pulse28891131:36-533
    14Verdy28881216:28-1232
    15FC Tokyo28871330:42-1231
    16Nagoya Grampus28781334:42-829
    17Yokohama F. Marinos28671526:35-925
    18Shonan Bellmare28671526:47-2125
    19Yokohama FC28651718:35-1723
    20Albirex Niigata28481627:48-2120

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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