Result
1:2
29/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.64 | 1.00 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
75% (325/433) | 80% (366/456) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.64 | 1.00 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.12 | 1.33 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
4 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
75% (325/433) | 80% (366/456) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (26/70) | 48% (26/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
52% (65/125) | 67% (64/96) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (5/25) | 0% (0/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.56 | 0.68 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
55% (12/22) | 47% (9/19) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
10 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.33 | 0.12 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.67 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Inagaki S. ⚽, Morishima T. (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, Yamada Y. ⚽, Hosoya M. (A),
- 45', Diego 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Shirai E. ↓, Kumasaka K. ↑,
- 46', Nakajima S. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 2, Hosoya M. ⚽, Diego (A),
- 58', Diego ↓, Koyamatsu T. ↑,
- 59', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
- 62', Shiihashi K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
- 62', Izumi R. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 62', Morishima T. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
- 74', Nakayama K. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
- 77', Hosoya M. ↓, Koizumi Y. ↑,
- 84', Nogami Y. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 87', Mitsumaru H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus 38.2% | Draw 31.4% | Kashiwa Reysol 30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+4%)
Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.48 ↓ (2.81) |
2.99 ↑ (2.97) |
3.08 ↑ (2.69) |
6.1% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nagoya Grampus will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 3.
- Nagoya is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Kashiwa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Nagoya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Nagoya have a series of guest games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Yamagishi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Junker K.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:18 (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nagoya won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Nagoya Grampus has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Nagoya Grampus?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
14.07.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kashiwa Reysol
2:1
09.06.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:0
05.06.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:1
16.03.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Nagoya Grampus
0:2
03.12.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 30:20 | 10 | 41 |
3 | Kyoto | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 38 |
4 | Vissel Kobe | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 37 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 26:17 | 9 | 36 |
6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:23 | 12 | 35 |
7 | Urawa Reds | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
8 | Machida | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 33 |
10 | Okayama | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 30 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 30 |
12 | Gamba Osaka | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 28 |
13 | Nagoya Grampus | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 27 |
14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 27 |
15 | Verdy | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 15:23 | -8 | 27 |
16 | FC Tokyo | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 23 |
18 | Yokohama FC | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14:27 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Albirex Niigata | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23:37 | -14 | 19 |
20 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
China | QQ Sports |
Japan | DAZN Japan |