Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol
Result
1:2
29/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 13
Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.00
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
75% (325/433)80% (366/456)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.121.33
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
40
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2323
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
138
Passes
75% (325/433)80% (366/456)
Long passes
37% (26/70)48% (26/54)
Passes in final third
52% (65/125)67% (64/96)
Crosses
20% (5/25)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.68
Throw-ins
2825
Fouls
813
Tackles
55% (12/22)47% (9/19)
Duels won
4949
Clearances
1038
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.330.12
Goals prevented
-0.67-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Inagaki S. , Morishima T. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Yamada Y. , Hosoya M. (A),
  • 45', Diego 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Shirai E. , Kumasaka K. ,
  • 46', Nakajima S. , Kubo T. ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Hosoya M. , Diego (A),
  • 58', Diego , Koyamatsu T. ,
  • 59', Kinoshita K. , Kakita Y. ,
  • 62', Shiihashi K. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 62', Izumi R. , Asano Y. ,
  • 62', Morishima T. , Hara T. ,
  • 74', Nakayama K. , Tokumoto S. ,
  • 77', Hosoya M. , Koizumi Y. ,
  • 84', Nogami Y. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 87', Mitsumaru H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
38.2%
Draw
31.4%
Kashiwa Reysol
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 31.6% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 32.1% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.81)
    2.99
    (2.97)
    3.08
    (2.69)
    6.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nagoya Grampus will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 3.
    • Nagoya is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Kashiwa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Nagoya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Nagoya have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Yamagishi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nagoya: Junker K. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:18 (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nagoya won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
    14.07.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 2:1
    09.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 1:0
    05.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus 1:1
    16.03.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus 0:2
    03.12.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds2297628:23534
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare23661119:33-1424
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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