Result
1:2
29/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (325/433) | 80% (366/456) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (325/433) | 80% (366/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (26/70) | 48% (26/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (65/125) | 67% (64/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 0% (0/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Inagaki S. ⚽, Morishima T. (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, Yamada Y. ⚽, Hosoya M. (A),
- 45', Diego 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Shirai E. ↓, Kumasaka K. ↑,
- 46', Nakajima S. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 2, Hosoya M. ⚽, Diego (A),
- 58', Diego ↓, Koyamatsu T. ↑,
- 59', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
- 62', Shiihashi K. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
- 62', Izumi R. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 62', Morishima T. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
- 74', Nakayama K. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
- 77', Hosoya M. ↓, Koizumi Y. ↑,
- 84', Nogami Y. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 87', Mitsumaru H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus
38.2% | Draw
31.4% | Kashiwa Reysol
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+4%)
Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.81) |
2.99 ↑
(2.97) |
3.08 ↑
(2.69) |
6.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nagoya Grampus will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 4).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 3.
- Nagoya is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Kashiwa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Nagoya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Nagoya have a series of guest games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Yamagishi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Junker K.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Nagoya won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:18 (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nagoya won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Nagoya Grampus has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Nagoya Grampus?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
14.07.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kashiwa Reysol
2:1
09.06.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:0
05.06.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:1
16.03.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Nagoya Grampus
0:2
03.12.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 45:27 | 18 | 58 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 53:32 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 55 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 14 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 47 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 43 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Okayama | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 28:33 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Avispa Fukuoka | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:34 | -4 | 37 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Verdy | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 28:38 | -10 | 28 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 20:36 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 27:53 | -26 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 27:50 | -23 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
