Kashiwa Reysol vs Fagiano Okayama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Kashiwa Reysol - Fagiano Okayama
Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 16
Kashiwa Reysol - Fagiano Okayama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.47
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
86% (487/566)74% (217/295)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.000.98
Total shots
168
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
3615
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
97
Passes
86% (487/566)74% (217/295)
Long passes
50% (27/54)38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
74% (121/164)54% (49/91)
Crosses
20% (3/15)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.640.35
Throw-ins
2232
Fouls
79
Tackles
79% (11/14)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4436
Clearances
2920
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.982.00
Goals prevented
0.98-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sato R. , Kato H. ,
  • 60', Tabei R. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 60', Nakama H. , Hosoya M. ,
  • 60', Koizumi Y. , Watai M. ,
  • 67', Fujita I. 🟨,
  • 69', Esaka A. , Iwabuchi H. ,
  • 69', Kimura T. , Ichimi K. ,
  • 74', Kumasaka K. 🟨,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Hosoya M. ,
  • 78', Koyamatsu T. , Diego ,
  • 78', Lucao , Browne N. ,
  • 87', Harada W. , Inukai T. ,
  • 87', Kakita Y. , Nakagawa N. ,
  • 90', 2 - 0, Diego ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Kashiwa Reysol
46.8%
Draw
30.3%
Fagiano Okayama
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 29.4% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 29.4% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.11)
    3.13
    (3.25)
    4.09
    (3.77)
    6%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 50%). Okayama (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).
    • Kashiwa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Okayama is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Kashiwa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Harada W. (Injury) Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • We predict that Kashiwa will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Kashiwa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Kyoto22115636:261038
    4Vissel Kobe21114627:21637
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima21113726:17936
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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