Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

20/09/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka).

: J1 League - Round 30

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	0.96
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
4	11
Passes
79% (313/396)	87% (542/623)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41	0.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.10	0.17
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
4	11
Touches in opposition box
19	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
15	7
Passes
79% (313/396)	87% (542/623)
Long passes
23% (12/53)	54% (32/59)
Passes in final third
65% (84/130)	79% (158/199)
Crosses
29% (4/14)	36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.53	1.00
Throw-ins
12	22
Fouls
7	15
Tackles
68% (13/19)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
43	32
Clearances
25	19
Interceptions
3	12
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.17	1.10
Goals prevented
-0.83	0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Hosoya M. ⚽, Nakagawa N. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Fernandes L. ⚽, Shibayama M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hosoya M. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
53', Mitsumaru H. 🟨,
66', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
66', Rafael Ratao ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
66', Tanaka S. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
74', Nakama H. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
74', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
85', Shibayama M. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
86', Harada W. ↓, Katayama E. ↑,
90', Koizumi Y. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
90+7', Kagawa S. ↓, Vitor Bueno ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cerezo Osaka
33.3%

Draw
26.1%

Kashiwa Reysol
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

25.8%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

25.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.8)	3.64 ↓ (3.7)	2.38 (2.38)	5.2% (4.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 23.1% – 88.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 50%). Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.
Recent performances by Cerezo Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kashiwa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Cerezo Osaka has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Cerezo Osaka?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:

26.02.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka 2:1

28.09.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 0:0

03.04.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka 1:1

12.08.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka 1:1

23.04.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 1:0

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

13.09.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka 2:4 ✺

31.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe 1:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 3:0 ✺

11.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

12.09.2025 Vissel Kobe - Kashiwa Reysol 0:0 ✺

07.09.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

03.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol 1:4 ✺

31.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka 2:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds 4:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto