Karviná vs Jablonec: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Czech 1 Liga Karviná - Jablonec
Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Chance Liga - Round 9
  • Referee: Stary D. (Cze)
Karviná - Jablonec - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.86
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
85% (392/460)66% (162/246)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.221.87
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2416
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1517
Passes
85% (392/460)66% (162/246)
Long passes
53% (31/58)34% (24/71)
Passes in final third
65% (81/124)51% (39/76)
Crosses
22% (4/18)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.37
Throw-ins
2420
Fouls
1715
Tackles
60% (3/5)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4048
Clearances
1421
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.871.22
Goals prevented
-0.130.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Cedidla M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', Jawo L. , Puskac D. ,
  • 60', Chramosta J. , Alegue A. ,
  • 65', Samko D. , Fiala J. ,
  • 72', Zorvan F. , Rusek A. ,
  • 77', 0 - 2, Rusek A. ,
  • 79', Singhateh E. , Conde O. ,
  • 79', Chytry J. , Fleisman J. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Krcik D. (Pen),
  • 86', Tekijaski N. , Innocenti N. ,
  • 86', Sedlacek R. , Stepanek D. ,
  • 90+5', Puskac D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Karviná
31.1%
Draw
28.1%
Jablonec
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 26.9% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 26.8% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Karviná - Jablonec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (3.2)
    3.54
    (3.5)
    2.37
    (2.16)
    0.2%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Karviná - Jablonec?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Jablonec will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 1.
    • In recent matches, Karviná has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jablonec is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Karviná: Camara S. (Red Card) Sigut S. (Injury) Vallo K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karviná: Bohac S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jablonec: Polidar M. (Health problems)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Jablonec were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Jablonec - Karviná 5:0
    21.09.2024 Karviná - Jablonec 1:0
    04.05.2024 Jablonec - Karviná 3:2
    16.12.2023 Jablonec - Karviná 0:0
    19.08.2023 Karviná - Jablonec 1:1
    Latest results of Karviná
    13.09.2025 Slavia Prague - Karviná 3:1
    30.08.2025 Karviná - Teplice 4:1
    27.08.2025 Bospor Bohumín - Karviná 1:6
    23.08.2025 Viktoria Plzeň - Karviná 2:1
    17.08.2025 Karviná - Bohemians 1905 1:2
    Latest results of Jablonec
    14.09.2025 Jablonec - Pardubice 3:2
    30.08.2025 Slovácko - Jablonec 0:2
    26.08.2025 Admira Prague - Jablonec 0:3
    23.08.2025 Teplice - Jablonec 0:1
    16.08.2025 Jablonec - Slavia Prague 1:1
    Czech 1 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sparta Prague971119:10922
    2Slavia Prague963019:71221
    3Jablonec963014:6821
    4Plzen943217:9815
    5Zlin942312:11114
    6Sigma Olomouc94235:4114
    7Bohemians84137:8-113
    8Karvina940514:13112
    9Liberec933312:11112
    10Hradec Kralove933312:13-112
    11Mlada Boleslav822415:22-78
    12Dukla Prague91447:12-57
    13Ostrava81346:9-36
    14Slovacko91355:11-66
    15Teplice91269:17-85
    16FK Pardubice80359:19-103

          Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
          Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Karviná - Jablonec?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
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