Baník Ostrava vs Karviná: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Czech 1 Liga Baník Ostrava - Karviná
Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Chance Liga - Round 4
  • Referee: Vsetecka J. (Cze)
Baník Ostrava - Karviná - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.51
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
75% (310/412)74% (225/303)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.171.47
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
136
Passes
75% (310/412)74% (225/303)
Long passes
60% (52/86)41% (30/73)
Passes in final third
58% (79/136)51% (46/91)
Crosses
27% (6/22)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.84
Throw-ins
1910
Fouls
613
Tackles
70% (7/10)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5254
Clearances
1137
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.471.17
Goals prevented
-0.530.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Rigo T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Storman R. , Buzek A. ,
  • 52', Traore A. 🟨,
  • 52', Hysky M. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Labik A. ,
  • 58', Munksgaard A. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Almasi L. , Owusu D. (A),
  • 62', Sin M. , Kohut M. ,
  • 62', Buchta D. , Boula J. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Krcik D. (Pen),
  • 67', Bohac S. , Ayaosi E. ,
  • 67', Conde O. , Ezeh L. ,
  • 71', Rigo T. , Prekop E. ,
  • 71', Tiehi C. , Frydek Ch. ,
  • 79', Owusu D. , Latal D. ,
  • 86', Gning A. , Vecheta F. ,
  • 90+5', Planka D. , Samko D. ,

Chances of winning


Baník Ostrava
53.9%
Draw
24.4%
Karviná
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 21.8% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6% 22.9% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baník Ostrava's form might have worsened.
  • Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baník Ostrava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karviná, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Baník Ostrava - Karviná Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.52)
    3.88
    (4.3)
    4.36
    (5.6)
    6.2%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava - Karviná?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Karviná will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Baník Ostrava will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Karviná may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Baník Ostrava is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Karviná: Singhateh E. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Karviná: Chytry J. (Injury) Sigut S. (Health problems) Vallo K. (Health problems)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baník Ostrava won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:21. (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Baník Ostrava won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 2.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Baník Ostrava - Karviná were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Baník Ostrava - Karviná 2:1
    28.08.2024 Karviná - Baník Ostrava 0:0
    14.04.2024 Baník Ostrava - Karviná 2:2
    05.11.2023 Karviná - Baník Ostrava 1:3
    Latest results of Baník Ostrava
    Latest results of Karviná
    02.08.2025 Karviná - Zlín 0:1
    19.07.2025 Karviná - Dukla Prague 2:0
    12.07.2025 Karviná - Górnik Zabrze 0:1
    05.07.2025 Žilina - Karviná 1:3
    Czech 1 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sparta Prague761016:7919
    2Slavia Prague752015:51017
    3Jablonec74309:3615
    4Zlin741210:8213
    5Sigma Olomouc74125:3213
    6Plzen733115:7812
    7Karvina740312:8412
    8Liberec72239:10-18
    9Bohemians62134:8-47
    10Hradec Kralove71338:11-36
    11Dukla Prague71336:9-36
    12Slovacko71244:9-55
    13Ostrava51134:5-14
    14Mlada Boleslav611411:19-84
    15Teplice61056:13-73
    16FK Pardubice60246:15-92

          Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
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    Which TV channels are streaming of Baník Ostrava - Karviná?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
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