Sorana Cirstea vs Karolina Muchova: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis WTA US Open Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals
Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Sorana Cirstea
47.8%
Karolina Muchova
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 62.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sorana Cirstea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sorana Cirstea's performance.
  • Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karolina Muchova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorana Cirstea than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sorana Cirstea that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karolina Muchova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.3)

    1.82
    (1.62)
    5.6%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Cirstea will win (votes: 26 - 78.8%). Muchova will win (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cirstea: 64.9%92.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sorana Cirstea will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cirstea is ranked WTA: 71. Muchova is ranked WTA: 13.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cirstea won 1.
    • Cirstea has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Muchova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cirstea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cirstea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova were as follows:
    20.02.2025 Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea 2:0
    05.09.2023 Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova 0:2
    09.08.2023 Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova 0:2
    26.03.2023 Sorana Cirstea - Karolina Muchova 2:0
    21.02.2023 Karolina Muchova - Sorana Cirstea 2:0
    Latest results of Sorana Cirstea
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)Kudermetova P.0 : 0
    3Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    4Marino R. (Q)Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (19)Ahn A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Sun L.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Bucsa C.Liu C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Eala A.Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    9Rybakina E. (9)Pareja J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    11Raducanu E.Shibahara E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tjen J. (Q)Kudermetova V. (24)2 : 1
    13Kessler M. (32)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    15Sasnovich A.Jovic I.0 : 2
    16Aiava D. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    18Starodubtseva Y.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    19Azarenka V.Inoue H. (Q)2 : 0
    20Pavlyuchenkova A.Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    21Samsonova L. (17)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    22Jeanjean L.Hon P. (Q)0 : 2
    23Li A.Sramkova R.2 : 1
    24Zhang S. (Q)Bencic B. (16)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (10)Wang Y.2 : 0
    26Teichmann J.McNally C. (WC)0 : 2
    27Uchijima M.Danilovic O.2 : 1
    28Krejcikova B.Mboko V. (22)2 : 0
    29Ostapenko J. (25)Wang Xiy. (Q)2 : 0
    30Townsend T.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Zhu L.2 : 1
    32Parks A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    33Keys M. (6)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    34Kvitova P.Parry D.0 : 2
    35Volynets K. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    36Boulter K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    37Noskova L. (21)Galfi D. (Q)2 : 0
    38Jones F. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    39Cirstea S.Sierra S.2 : 0
    40Williams V. (WC)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    41Kasatkina D. (15)Ruse G.2 : 0
    42Rakhimova K.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 1
    43Baptiste H.Siniakova K.2 : 0
    44Minnen G.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    45Frech M. (28)Gibson T. (WC)2 : 0
    46Semenistaja D. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    47Vekic D.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    48Tomljanovic A.Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    49Anisimova A. (8)Birrell K.2 : 0
    50Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    51Collins D.Cristian J.0 : 2
    52Krueger A.Kenin S. (26)2 : 1
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Kartal S.2 : 1
    54Boisson L.Golubic V.1 : 2
    55Sakkari M.Maria T.2 : 0
    56Bondar A.Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    57Alexandrova E. (13)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    58Dolehide C.Wang Xin.1 : 2
    59Zakharova A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    60Siegemund L.Shnaider D. (20)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (29)Ngounoue C. (WC)2 : 1
    62Putintseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    63Lamens S.Glozman V. (WC)2 : 0
    64Arango E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    2Jacquemot E.Fernandez L. (31)1 : 2
    3Mertens E. (19)Sun L.2 : 0
    4Bucsa C.Eala A.2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (9)Valentova T.2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Tjen J.2 : 0
    7Kessler M. (32)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (4)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    10Azarenka V.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    11Samsonova L. (17)Hon P.1 : 2
    12Li A.Bencic B. (16)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)McNally C.2 : 0
    14Uchijima M.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    15Ostapenko J. (25)Townsend T.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    17Zarazua R.Parry D.
    18Sonmez Z.Kostyuk M. (27)
    19Noskova L. (21)Lys E. (RET.)1 : 0
    20Cirstea S.Muchova K. (11)
    21Kasatkina D. (15)Rakhimova K.
    22Baptiste H.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    23Frech M. (28)Stearns P.
    24Vekic D.Gauff C. (3)
    25Anisimova A. (8)Joint M.
    26Cristian J.Krueger A.
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Golubic V.2 : 0
    28Sakkari M.Bondar A.2 : 0
    29Alexandrova E. (13)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    30Zakharova A.Siegemund L.
    31Kalinskaya A. (29)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    32Lamens S.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Fernandez L. (31)
    2Mertens E. (19)Bucsa C.
    3Rybakina E. (9)Raducanu E.
    4Vondrousova M.Paolini J. (7)
    5Pegula J. (4)Azarenka V.
    6Hon P.Li A.
    7Navarro E. (10)Krejcikova B.
    8Townsend T.Andreeva M. (5)
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10Noskova L. (21)TBD #20
    11TBD #21Osaka N. (23)
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14Haddad Maia B. (18)Sakkari M.
    15Alexandrova E. (13)TBD #30
    16Kalinskaya A. (29)Swiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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