Result
1:2
04/10/2024 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Beijing (China), hard - Quarter-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (40/65) | 66% (41/62) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (22/38) | 52% (22/42) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 50% (4/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (21/62) | 40% (26/65) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 42% (16/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 30% (3/10) |
| Max Points In Row |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (62/103) | 61% (63/104) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (41/104) | 40% (41/103) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (103/207) | 50% (104/207) |
| Max Games In Row |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 20% (3/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 47% (14/30) |
Chances of winning
Aryna Sabalenka
64.3% | Karolina Muchova
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aryna Sabalenka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karolina Muchova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aryna Sabalenka - Karolina Muchova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.38) |
|
2.66 ↓
(2.73) |
4.6%
(9.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Karolina Muchova?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Muchova will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 58% – 94.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 2. Muchova is ranked WTA: 49.
- Sabalenka in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Muchova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Sabalenka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Sabalenka to win the game is with odds 1.37.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Karolina Muchova?
Aryna Sabalenka has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karolina Muchova won against Aryna Sabalenka?
Karolina Muchova has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Karolina Muchova were as follows:
19.08.2023
Karolina Muchova
-
Aryna Sabalenka
2:1
08.06.2023
Karolina Muchova
-
Aryna Sabalenka
2:1
Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka
Latest results of Karolina Muchova
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Diyas Z. (Q) | Sawangkaew M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Wang Y. | Krueger A. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Bye | Sun L. (29) | |
| 5 | Keys M. (18) | Bye | |
| 6 | Gao X. | Sorribes Tormo S. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Ruse G. (Q) | Wei S. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Haddad Maia B. (13) | |
| 9 | Samsonova L. (11) | Bye | |
| 10 | Yao X. (WC) | Bucsa C. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Rodionova Ar. (Q) | Cocciaretto E. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Mertens E. (24) | |
| 13 | Yuan Y. (30) | Bye | |
| 14 | Blinkova A. | Muchova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bondar A. | Cristian J. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Krejcikova B. (7) | |
| 17 | Paolini J. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Dart H. | Tauson C. | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | Uchijima M. | Shi H. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Linette M. (31) | |
| 21 | Andreeva M. (17) | Bye | |
| 22 | Ma Y. | Begu I. | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Golubic V. | Wang Xiy. | 2 : 1 |
| 24 | Bye | Vekic D. (16) | |
| 25 | Kasatkina D. (9) | Bye | |
| 26 | Wang M. | Fett J. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Osorio C. | Tomljanovic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Anisimova A. (34) | |
| 29 | Yastremska D. (25) | Bye | |
| 30 | Ren Y. | Podoroska N. | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Birrell K. (Q) | Rakhimova K. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Zheng Q. (5) | |
| 33 | Dolehide C. (33) | Bye | |
| 34 | Avanesyan E. | Bektas E. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 35 | Starodubtseva Y. (Q) | Siegemund L. | 2 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Siniakova K. (27) | |
| 37 | Fernandez L. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Bouzas Maneiro J. | Stearns P. | 0 : 2 |
| 39 | Gracheva V. | Baptiste H. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 40 | Bye | Kalinskaya A. (10) | |
| 41 | Kostyuk M. (14) | Bye | |
| 42 | Volynets K. | Galfi D. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 43 | Bronzetti L. | Osaka N. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Putintseva Y. (21) | |
| 45 | Boulter K. (26) | Bye | |
| 46 | Trevisan M. | Townsend T. | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Burel C. | Korpatsch T. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Gauff C. (4) | |
| 49 | Navarro E. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Zhang S. | Kessler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Minnen G. | Andreeva E. | 2 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Potapova A. (28) | |
| 53 | Frech M. (23) | Bye | |
| 54 | Wang Q. | Parks A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 55 | Kenin S. | Bogdan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Shnaider D. (12) | |
| 57 | Badosa P. (15) | Bye | |
| 58 | Tsurenko L. | Tomova V. | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Kalinina A. | Sramkova R. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Alexandrova E. (22) | |
| 61 | Kudermetova V. (32) | Bye | |
| 62 | Hontama M. (LL) | Wang Xin. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Parry D. | Liang E. S. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Bye | Pegula J. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Sawangkaew M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Krueger A. | Sun L. (29) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Keys M. (18) | Sorribes Tormo S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Wei S. | Haddad Maia B. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Samsonova L. (11) | Bucsa C. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Cocciaretto E. | Mertens E. (24) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Yuan Y. (30) | Muchova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cristian J. | Krejcikova B. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Paolini J. (3) | Tauson C. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Uchijima M. | Linette M. (31) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Andreeva M. (17) | Begu I. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Golubic V. | Vekic D. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Kasatkina D. (9) | Fett J. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Osorio C. | Anisimova A. (34) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Yastremska D. (25) | Podoroska N. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Rakhimova K. | Zheng Q. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Dolehide C. (33) | Avanesyan E. | 1 : 2 |
| 18 | Starodubtseva Y. | Siniakova K. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Fernandez L. (20) | Stearns P. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Baptiste H. | Kalinskaya A. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Kostyuk M. (14) | Volynets K. | 0 : 2 |
| 22 | Osaka N. | Putintseva Y. (21) | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Boulter K. (26) | Townsend T. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Burel C. | Gauff C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Navarro E. (6) | Zhang S. | 0 : 2 |
| 26 | Minnen G. | Potapova A. (28) | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Frech M. (23) | Parks A. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Kenin S. | Shnaider D. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Badosa P. (15) | Tomova V. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Sramkova R. | Alexandrova E. (22) | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Kudermetova V. (32) | Wang Xin. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Parry D. | Pegula J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Krueger A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Keys M. (18) | Haddad Maia B. (13) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bucsa C. | Mertens E. (24) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Muchova K. | Cristian J. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Paolini J. (3) | Linette M. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Andreeva M. (17) | Vekic D. (16) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Kasatkina D. (9) | Anisimova A. (34) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Podoroska N. | Zheng Q. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Avanesyan E. | Starodubtseva Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Stearns P. (RET.) | Kalinskaya A. (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Volynets K. | Osaka N. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Boulter K. (26) | Gauff C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Zhang S. | Minnen G. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Frech M. (23) | Shnaider D. (12) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Badosa P. (15) | Sramkova R. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Kudermetova V. (32) | Pegula J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Keys M. (18) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bucsa C. | Muchova K. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Linette M. (31) | Andreeva M. (17) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Anisimova A. (34) | Zheng Q. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Starodubtseva Y. | Kalinskaya A. (10) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Osaka N. (RET.) | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Zhang S. | Frech M. (23) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Badosa P. (15) | Pegula J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sabalenka A. (1) | Muchova K. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Andreeva M. (17) | Zheng Q. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Starodubtseva Y. | Gauff C. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Zhang S. | Badosa P. (15) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Muchova K. | Zheng Q. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gauff C. (4) | Badosa P. (15) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Muchova K. | Gauff C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
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