KalPa vs HPK: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Hockey Finnish SM-liiga KalPa - HPK
Result
1:4
24/01/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FINLAND: Liiga
KalPa - HPK - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.442.36
Shots on Goal
2317
Shots off Goal
1716
Shooting PCT
4.35% (1/23)23.53% (4/17)
Blocked Shots
198
Goalkeeper Saves
1322
Saves PCT
81.25% (13/16)95.65% (22/23)
Penalties
57
PIM
1014
Power-play Goals
02
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/7)40% (2/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
60% (3/5)100% (7/7)
Faceoffs Won
2428
Faceoffs %
46.1553.85
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 06:33, Kapanen K. (2 min),
  • 12:32, Caron T. (2 min),
  • 15:56, 1 - 0, Maenpaa J. (G), Elorinne A. (A), Kantner M. (A2)
  • 17:07, Simontaival K. (2 min),
  • 17:37, Elorinne A. (2 min),
  • 18:15, 1 - 1, Tuulola E. (G), Rautiainen T. (A), Ketola J. (A2)
  • 19:29, 1 - 2, Caron T. (G), Huttunen H. (A), Nikkila P. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 01:10, Klemetti A. (2 min),
  • 01:10, Huttunen H. (2 min),
  • 09:28, Tuulola E. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 04:32, 1 - 3, Vesterinen R. (G), Nikkila P. (A), Huttunen H. (A2)
  • 04:52, Noel D. (2 min),
  • 15:38, Caron T. (2 min),
  • 18:32, Nikkila P. (2 min),
  • 19:20, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
  • 19:49, 1 - 4, Tuulola E. (G), Paivarinta S. (A), Hietanen J. (A2)

Chances of winning


KalPa
62.5%
Draw
19.5%
HPK
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 20.7% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 18.3% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KalPa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HPK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • KalPa - HPK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.61)
    4.78
    (4.47)
    5.12
    (4.25)
    7.8%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • What is the prediction for KalPa - HPK?
    The most likely score is 3:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches KalPa won 4.
    • KalPa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • HPK is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • KalPa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match KalPa is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's HPK to win the game is with odds 4.58.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches KalPa won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 61:48 (average 3.1:2.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams KalPa won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 30:16 (average 3.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - HPK were as follows:
    20.12.2024 HPK - KalPa 2:1
    27.11.2024 HPK - KalPa 3:4
    16.10.2024 KalPa - HPK 3:2
    08.03.2024 HPK - KalPa 2:3
    06.01.2024 KalPa - HPK 5:1
    Latest results of KalPa
    17.01.2025 KalPa - KooKoo 2:3
    15.01.2025 TPS - KalPa 3:2
    11.01.2025 KalPa - Ässät 2:4
    10.01.2025 HIFK - KalPa 3:1
    08.01.2025 KalPa - Mikkelin Jukurit 3:2
    Latest results of HPK
    22.01.2025 Kärpät - HPK 0:3
    18.01.2025 Kiekko-Espoo - HPK 0:3
    17.01.2025 HPK - TPS 1:5
    11.01.2025 HPK - JYP 3:2
    08.01.2025 HPK - Ässät 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Ilves (2)Bye
    2Kiekko-Espoo (8)Tappara (9)2 : 3
    3KalPa (3)Bye
    4Assat (7)Hameenlinna (10)3 : 0
    5Lukko (1)Bye
    6KooKoo (6)Vaasan Sport (11)1 : 3
    7IFK Helsinki (4)Bye
    8SaiPa (5)TPS Turku (12)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ilves (2)Tappara (9)4 : 0
    2KalPa (3)Assat (7)4 : 3
    3Lukko (1)Vaasan Sport (11)4 : 0
    4IFK Helsinki (4)SaiPa (5)0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Ilves (2)KalPa (3)2 : 4
    2Lukko (1)SaiPa (5)2 : 4

    Final
    1KalPa (3)SaiPa (5)4 : 2

    3rd place
    2Lukko (1)Ilves (2)0 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of KalPa - HPK?
    It is being streamed on channel
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